Primera División · Regular Season - 24
Cobresal 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Estadio El Cobre, El Salvador
CobresalTeam 1535
Universidad de ConcepcionTeam 1472Match story
Cobresal · draw · Universidad de ConcepcionBefore kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%
Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.
- Guillermo Pacheco 90+5'
- Luis Rojas 88'
We gave Cobresal 43% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Juan Fuentes 1556 −11*41'
Cobresal:Juan Fuentes 1556 −11* - Cesar Yanis 1541 −11*44'
Cobresal:Cesar Yanis 1541 −11* - Franco Frias 1553 −8* for Martín Espinoza 1466 −8*45'
Cobresal:Franco Frias 1553 −8* for Martín Espinoza 1466 −8* - 45'Iam Gonzalez 1324 +4 for T. Roco 1359 +1
Universidad de Concepcion:Iam Gonzalez 1324 +4 for T. Roco 1359 +1 - Alejandro Santander 1372 −12* for Matias Alejandro Olguín Lucero 1513 −8*54'
Cobresal:Alejandro Santander 1372 −12* for Matias Alejandro Olguín Lucero 1513 −8* - Rodrigo Francisco Sandoval Muñoz 1439 −8*62'
Cobresal:Rodrigo Francisco Sandoval Muñoz 1439 −8* - Aaron Astudillo 1519 −8* for Leroy Janpol Morales Napa 1609 −9*68'
Cobresal:Aaron Astudillo 1519 −8* for Leroy Janpol Morales Napa 1609 −9* - 76'Luis Rojas 1454 +1 for Facundo Mater 1618 0
Universidad de Concepcion:Luis Rojas 1454 +1 for Facundo Mater 1618 0 - 77'Rogelio Funes 1456 −7 for Cecilio Waterman 1552 −6
Universidad de Concepcion:Rogelio Funes 1456 −7 for Cecilio Waterman 1552 −6 - 79'Antonio Diaz 1590 −8* for Yerco Oyanedel 1554 +3
Universidad de Concepcion:Antonio Diaz 1590 −8* for Yerco Oyanedel 1554 +3 - 80'Bryan Ogaz 1499 +4
Universidad de Concepcion:Bryan Ogaz 1499 +4 - 88'Luis Rojas 1454 +1 assist Iam Gonzalez 1324 +4
Universidad de Concepcion:Luis Rojas 1454 +1 assist Iam Gonzalez 1324 +4 - Aaron Astudillo 1519 −8*90'
Cobresal:Aaron Astudillo 1519 −8* - 90'Luis Rojas 1454 +1
Universidad de Concepcion:Luis Rojas 1454 +1 - 90+1'C. Muñoz
Universidad de Concepcion:C. Muñoz - 90+5'diego sabando 1331 0 for Harol Salgado 1258 +3
Universidad de Concepcion:diego sabando 1331 0 for Harol Salgado 1258 +3 - Guillermo Pacheco 1345 −18*90+5'
Cobresal:Guillermo Pacheco 1345 −18*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%(Cobresal · draw · Universidad de Concepcion)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Cobresal €262K, Universidad de Concepcion €278K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cobresal
14th in Primera División · 24 pts from 23
- 12 SepWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1503
- 7 SepLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1504
- 28 AugWPalestino Chile Primera Division1511
- 23 AugDD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1482
- 16 AugLConcepción Chile Primera Division1520
Universidad de Concepcion
15th in Primera División · 22 pts from 23
- 2 OctLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1512
- 6 SepLPalestino Chile Primera Division1517
- 2 SepLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1518
- 30 AugWUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1506
- 24 AugLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1472
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 24 /23 | 31.8 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 14th |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 22 /23 | 29.6 | 0% | 0% | 90% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Cobresal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1567

Universidad de Concepcion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1618
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cobresal: balanced profile (how Gustavo Ernesto Huerta Araya plays) · Universidad de Concepcion: balanced profile (how Cristian Munoz plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.