Primera División · Regular Season - 28
Cobresal vs A. Italiano
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador
Cobresal host A. Italiano on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cobresal 29%, draw 29%, A. Italiano 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cobresal €238K, A. Italiano €440K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): Cobresal rank #3 of 19, A. Italiano #16.
- All 11 of Cobresal's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cobresal goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 1–07%
- 0–27%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Cobresal 1507 · A. Italiano 1600
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cobresal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1536
A. Italiano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1608
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cobresal
14th in Primera División · 27 pts from 27
- 8 NovLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1487
- 1 NovDEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1514
- 24 OctDO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1466
- 10 OctDUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1511
- 12 SepWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1492
A. Italiano
13th in Primera División · 30 pts from 27
- 8 NovLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1598
- 2 NovLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1600
- 28 OctDU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1605
- 23 OctDHuachipato Chile Primera Division1618
- 13 SepWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1610
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 27 /27 | 30.3 | 0% | 0% | 83% | 14th |
| A. Italiano | 30 /27 | 34.5 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cobresal: balanced profile (how G. Huerta plays) · A. Italiano: direct (how P. Graff plays)