Liga MX · Apertura - 14
Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Club Tijuana host Santos Laguna on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Tijuana 46%, draw 28%, Santos Laguna 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Tijuana €1.8M, Santos Laguna €1.5M.
- Santos Laguna have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Tijuana goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Club Tijuana 1877 · Santos Laguna 1869
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Tijuana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1889
Santos Laguna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2006
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Tijuana
10th in Liga MX · 16 pts from 11
- 17 OctDPuebla Liga MX1902
- 10 OctDFC Juarez Liga MX1913
- 26 SepLAtlas Liga MX1876
- 21 SepDCF Pachuca Liga MX1913
- 12 SepLClub Queretaro Liga MX1924
Santos Laguna
9th in Liga MX · 16 pts from 12
- 17 OctWClub Queretaro Liga MX1870
- 11 OctWAtletico San Luis Liga MX1839
- 27 SepWCF Pachuca Liga MX1825
- 21 SepWToluca Liga MX1729
- 14 SepWFC Juarez Liga MX1740
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | 16 /11 | 23.1 | <1% | 4% | 1% | 11th |
| Santos Laguna | 16 /12 | 23.1 | 0% | 3% | 1% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Tijuana: balanced profile (how Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo plays) · Santos Laguna: balanced profile (how Renato Manuel Alves Paiva plays)