Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Club Tijuana 0–0 Puebla
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 03:05 UTC · Estadio Caliente , Tijuana
Club TijuanaTeam 1863PueblaTeam 1623Match story
Club Tijuana · draw · PueblaBefore kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%
Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 95% · 2%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Club Tijuana 65% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 17'Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges 1738 +10Puebla:Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges 1738 +10
- 57'Iker Moreno 1768 +6Puebla:Iker Moreno 1768 +6
- Unai Bilbao 1834 −12* for Jesús Vega 1905 −258'Club Tijuana:Unai Bilbao 1834 −12* for Jesús Vega 1905 −2
- Joban González Cera 1399 −8* for Ramiro Árciga 1921 −258'Club Tijuana:Joban González Cera 1399 −8* for Ramiro Árciga 1921 −2
- 63'Eduardo Mustre 1467 +6 for L. Hernández 1501 +14Puebla:Eduardo Mustre 1467 +6 for L. Hernández 1501 +14
- 63'José Pachuca 1664 −4* for Iker Moreno 1768 +6Puebla:José Pachuca 1664 −4* for Iker Moreno 1768 +6
- Rafael Fernández 1956 −466'Club Tijuana:Rafael Fernández 1956 −4
- Elias Manoel 1760 −8* for Mourad El Ghezouani 1875 −270'Club Tijuana:Elias Manoel 1760 −8* for Mourad El Ghezouani 1875 −2
- 74'Heriberto Jurado 1700 +2 for Omar Moreno 1445 +51Puebla:Heriberto Jurado 1700 +2 for Omar Moreno 1445 +51
- Joban González Cera 1399 −8*79'Club Tijuana:Joban González Cera 1399 −8*
- 85'Ignacio Maestro 1584 +1 for Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges 1738 +10Puebla:Ignacio Maestro 1584 +1 for Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges 1738 +10
- 85'Eduardo Armenta 1719 +1 for Alejandro Organista 1759 +9Puebla:Eduardo Armenta 1719 +1 for Alejandro Organista 1759 +9
- Diego Abreu 1593 0 for José Rivero 1870 −885'Club Tijuana:Diego Abreu 1593 0 for José Rivero 1870 −8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%(Club Tijuana · draw · Puebla)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 0–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Club Tijuana €2.0M, Puebla €874K.
- Puebla's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Tijuana
8th in Liga MX · 15 pts from 10
- 10 OctDFC Juarez Liga MX1913
- 26 SepLAtlas Liga MX1876
- 21 SepDCF Pachuca Liga MX1913
- 12 SepLClub Queretaro Liga MX1924
- 22 AugLGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1921
Puebla
9th in Liga MX · 15 pts from 11
- 10 OctDLeon Liga MX1680
- 27 SepLTigres UANL Liga MX1697
- 19 SepDAtlante FC Liga MX1700
- 16 SepLToluca Liga MX1704
- 12 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1669
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | 15 /10 | 24.5 | 1% | 12% | <1% | 8th |
| Puebla | 15 /11 | 20.6 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Tijuana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1897
Puebla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1849
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Tijuana: balanced profile (how Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo plays) · Puebla: direct (how Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.