Liga MX · Apertura - 17
Club Tijuana vs Atlante FC
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Club Tijuana host Atlante FC on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Tijuana 63%, draw 22%, Atlante FC 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Tijuana €2.0M, Atlante FC €466K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga MX Apertura - 17: 215 points.
- Draw chance 22%, below the Liga MX average of 28% this round.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Liga MX): Club Tijuana rank #1 of 19, Atlante FC #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Tijuana goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Club Tijuana 1887 · Atlante FC 1672
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Tijuana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.8 (Good) · Elo 1914
Atlante FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1647
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Tijuana
9th in Liga MX · 22 pts from 16
- 7 NovLNecaxa Liga MX1917
- 1 NovDMonterrey Liga MX1913
- 29 OctDClub America Liga MX1823
- 26 OctWSantos Laguna Liga MX1894
- 22 OctDToluca Liga MX1796
Atlante FC
16th in Liga MX · 14 pts from 16
- 7 NovLSantos Laguna Liga MX1689
- 1 NovLGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1690
- 24 OctLAtletico San Luis Liga MX1695
- 21 OctWFC Juarez Liga MX1653
- 17 OctLU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1656
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | 22 /16 | 24.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
| Atlante FC | 14 /16 | 14.7 | 0% | 0% | 90% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Tijuana: balanced profile (how S. Abreu plays) · Atlante FC: balanced profile (how M. Herrera plays)