Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 21
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Sportivo Ameliano on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 40%, draw 29%, Sportivo Ameliano 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Sp. San Lorenzo €143K, Sportivo Ameliano €233K.
- Home advantage makes Club Sp. San Lorenzo the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in attacking (Division Profesional - Clausura): Club Sp. San Lorenzo rank #4 of 14, Sportivo Ameliano #12.
- Sportivo Ameliano's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Sp. San Lorenzo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1378 · Sportivo Ameliano 1417
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1361
Sportivo Ameliano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1428
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
12th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 11 pts from 19
- 9 NovDRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1391
- 3 NovWNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1337
- 31 OctWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1280
- 25 OctLCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1319
- 18 OctLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1299
Sportivo Ameliano
9th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 19 pts from 19
- 8 NovLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1388
- 4 NovLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1420
- 31 OctLDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1426
- 25 OctLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1460
- 18 OctDCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1404
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 11 /19 | 13.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 12th |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 19 /19 | 22.7 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Sp. San Lorenzo: balanced profile (how S. Órteman plays) · Sportivo Ameliano: balanced profile (how Roberto Nanni plays)