Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 19
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Rubio NU
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Rubio NU on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 38%, draw 29%, Rubio NU 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Sp. San Lorenzo €130K, Rubio NU €217K.
- Home advantage makes Club Sp. San Lorenzo the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Rubio NU's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Sp. San Lorenzo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1331 · Rubio NU 1404
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1340
Rubio NU · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1215
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
12th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 4 pts from 16
- 25 OctLCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1333
- 18 OctLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1316
- 10 OctDSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1260
- 3 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1365
- 28 SepDDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1370
Rubio NU
10th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 16 pts from 17
- 30 OctWSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1404
- 23 OctLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1327
- 16 OctLDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1366
- 11 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1376
- 6 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1342
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 4 /16 | 9.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 12th |
| Rubio NU | 16 /17 | 21.4 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct