Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 17
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC
Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Libertad Asuncion on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 20%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Sp. San Lorenzo €128K, Libertad Asuncion €587K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Division Profesional - Clausura Clausura - 17: 340 points.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: G. Flores is the highest-rated defender (1873).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Sp. San Lorenzo goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1343 · Libertad Asuncion 1683
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1347
Libertad Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1698
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
12th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 4 pts from 15
- 18 OctLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1314
- 10 OctDSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1259
- 3 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1364
- 28 SepDDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1370
- 20 SepLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1384
Libertad Asuncion
5th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 27 pts from 15
- 18 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1671
- 11 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1695
- 5 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1689
- 28 SepLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1691
- 19 SepDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1659
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 4 /15 | 10.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 12th |
| Libertad Asuncion | 27 /15 | 39.7 | 14% | 81% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –