Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 16
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Cerro Porteno on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 17%, draw 24%, Cerro Porteno 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Sp. San Lorenzo €128K, Cerro Porteno €740K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Division Profesional - Clausura Clausura - 16: 387 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Sp. San Lorenzo goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1337 · Cerro Porteno 1724
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1347
Cerro Porteno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1731
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
12th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 4 pts from 15
- 18 OctLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1314
- 10 OctDSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1259
- 3 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1364
- 28 SepDDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1370
- 20 SepLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1384
Cerro Porteno
7th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 21 pts from 15
- 18 OctDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1699
- 10 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1684
- 5 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1727
- 26 SepLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 19 SepWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1738
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 4 /15 | 10.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 12th |
| Cerro Porteno | 21 /15 | 33.4 | <1% | 17% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile