Liga MX · Apertura - 16
Club Queretaro vs Puebla
Mon 9 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro
Club Queretaro host Puebla on Mon 9 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Queretaro 56%, draw 25%, Puebla 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Queretaro €1.4M, Puebla €881K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Queretaro goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Club Queretaro 1813 · Puebla 1688
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Queretaro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1938
Puebla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.1 (Average) · Elo 1835
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Queretaro
8th in Liga MX · 20 pts from 12
- 21 OctLAtletico San Luis Liga MX1844
- 17 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX1883
- 10 OctWAtlante FC Liga MX1836
- 26 SepWGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1872
- 21 SepDLeon Liga MX1875
Puebla
13th in Liga MX · 16 pts from 13
- 22 OctLMonterrey Liga MX1714
- 17 OctDClub Tijuana Liga MX1678
- 10 OctDLeon Liga MX1680
- 27 SepLTigres UANL Liga MX1697
- 19 SepDAtlante FC Liga MX1700
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 20 /12 | 26.8 | 1% | 25% | 0% | 6th |
| Puebla | 16 /13 | 19.8 | 0% | <1% | 5% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Queretaro: direct · low-volume (how E. González plays) · Puebla: direct (how G. Espinoza plays)