Liga MX · Apertura - 17
Club Queretaro vs Necaxa
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro
Club Queretaro host Necaxa on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Queretaro 43%, draw 28%, Necaxa 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Queretaro €1.2M, Necaxa €2.0M.
- Home advantage makes Club Queretaro the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Liga MX): Club Queretaro rank #19 of 19, Necaxa #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Queretaro goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Club Queretaro 1764 · Necaxa 1793
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Queretaro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1812
Necaxa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1738
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Queretaro
12th in Liga MX · 20 pts from 15
- 9 NovLPuebla Liga MX1821
- 31 OctLFC Juarez Liga MX1819
- 26 OctLCruz Azul Liga MX1857
- 21 OctLAtletico San Luis Liga MX1831
- 17 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX1871
Necaxa
17th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 16
- 7 NovWClub Tijuana Liga MX1799
- 1 NovLSantos Laguna Liga MX1755
- 24 OctDFC Juarez Liga MX1725
- 21 OctLGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1744
- 17 OctLAtlas Liga MX1766
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 20 /15 | 22.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| Necaxa | 13 /16 | 14.1 | 0% | 0% | 91% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Queretaro: direct · low-volume (how E. González plays) · Necaxa: direct (how M. Varini plays)