Liga MX · Apertura - 14
Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro
Club Queretaro host Cruz Azul on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Queretaro 24%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Queretaro €1.3M, Cruz Azul €5.8M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga MX Apertura - 14: 295 points.
- Liga MX: W. Ditta is the highest-rated defender (2226).
- Style contrast in attacking (Liga MX): Club Queretaro rank #18 of 18, Cruz Azul #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Queretaro goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Club Queretaro 1808 · Cruz Azul 2103
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Queretaro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1875
Cruz Azul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2254
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Queretaro
6th in Liga MX · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctLSantos Laguna Liga MX1883
- 10 OctWAtlante FC Liga MX1836
- 26 SepWGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1872
- 21 SepDLeon Liga MX1875
- 12 SepWClub Tijuana Liga MX1859
Cruz Azul
5th in Liga MX · 20 pts from 12
- 18 OctWFC Juarez Liga MX2014
- 12 OctDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX2143
- 26 SepDToluca Liga MX2132
- 20 SepLMonterrey Liga MX2207
- 13 SepWClub America Liga MX2140
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 20 /11 | 27.9 | 4% | 39% | 0% | 5th |
| Cruz Azul | 20 /12 | 28.1 | 4% | 48% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Queretaro: direct · low-volume (how Esteban Eduardo González Herrera plays) · Cruz Azul: balanced profile (how Joel Huiqui plays)