Liga MX · Apertura - 11
Club Queretaro 2–0 Atlante FC
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro
Club QueretaroTeam 1796
Atlante FCTeam 1640Match story
Club Queretaro · draw · Atlante FCBefore kick-off: 58% · 25% · 18%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Santiago Homenchenko 25' (pen)
- Denilson Muñoz 50'
We gave Club Queretaro 58% to win: they did.
- 20'Eugenio Pizzuto 1590 −8*
Atlante FC:Eugenio Pizzuto 1590 −8* - Santiago Homenchenko 1959 +9* (pen.)25'
Club Queretaro:Santiago Homenchenko 1959 +9* (pen.) - 35'Walter Clar 1660 −11*
Atlante FC:Walter Clar 1660 −11* - Denilson Muñoz 1577 +32* assist Iker Benito Sánchez 1832 +15*50'
Club Queretaro:Denilson Muñoz 1577 +32* assist Iker Benito Sánchez 1832 +15* - 54'Edgar Jiménez 1410 −8* for Walter Clar 1660 −11*
Atlante FC:Edgar Jiménez 1410 −8* for Walter Clar 1660 −11* - 57'Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre
Atlante FC:Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre - Bernardo Parra 1740 −4* for Denilson Muñoz 1577 +32*64'
Club Queretaro:Bernardo Parra 1740 −4* for Denilson Muñoz 1577 +32* - 67'Octavio Vazquez 1425 −8* for Walter Portales 1649 −8*
Atlante FC:Octavio Vazquez 1425 −8* for Walter Portales 1649 −8* - 71'Juan Carrera 1562 −8*
Atlante FC:Juan Carrera 1562 −8* - Paulo Victor 1799 −2* for Iker Benito Sánchez 1832 +15*72'
Club Queretaro:Paulo Victor 1799 −2* for Iker Benito Sánchez 1832 +15* - Waldo Madrid 1375 +7* for Mateo Coronel 1929 −3*73'
Club Queretaro:Waldo Madrid 1375 +7* for Mateo Coronel 1929 −3* - 82'Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar 1663 −8* for Eugenio Pizzuto 1590 −8*
Atlante FC:Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar 1663 −8* for Eugenio Pizzuto 1590 −8* - 82'Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa 1588 −8* for Juan Carrera 1562 −8*
Atlante FC:Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa 1588 −8* for Juan Carrera 1562 −8* - 82'Christian Bermudez 1290 −22* for Aarón Quirós 1776 −14*
Atlante FC:Christian Bermudez 1290 −22* for Aarón Quirós 1776 −14* - Bernardo Parra 1740 −4*84'
Club Queretaro:Bernardo Parra 1740 −4* - Eduardo Perez 1260 −11* for Ali Ávila 1936 −1*86'
Club Queretaro:Eduardo Perez 1260 −11* for Ali Ávila 1936 −1* - Juan Martínez Jr. 1498 −7* for Carlo Garcia 1893 +12*86'
Club Queretaro:Juan Martínez Jr. 1498 −7* for Carlo Garcia 1893 +12*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 58% · 25% · 18%(Club Queretaro · draw · Atlante FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–0 had 11%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Club Queretaro €1.3M, Atlante FC €537K.
- Club Queretaro were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Queretaro
5th in Liga MX · 17 pts from 9
- 26 SepWGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1872
- 21 SepDLeon Liga MX1875
- 12 SepWClub Tijuana Liga MX1859
- 29 AugWAtlas Liga MX1832
- 16 AugDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1790
Atlante FC
15th in Liga MX · 11 pts from 10
- 26 SepWMonterrey Liga MX1640
- 19 SepDPuebla Liga MX1596
- 12 SepLCF Pachuca Liga MX1645
- 6 SepDAtlas Liga MX1609
- 29 AugDLeon Liga MX1603
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 17 /9 | 27.6 | 5% | 39% | <1% | 5th |
| Atlante FC | 11 /10 | 17.5 | 0% | <1% | 51% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Club Queretaro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1929

Atlante FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1668
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.