Primera División · Clausura - 11
Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Club NacionalTeam 1745Deportivo MaldonadoTeam 1545- 70'Christian Tabó –Deportivo Maldonado:Christian Tabó –
- 73'Juan Ramos –Deportivo Maldonado:Juan Ramos –
- Luciano Boggio –78'Club Nacional:Luciano Boggio –
Live Elo changes aren't available for this competition.
Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado on Mon 19 Oct 2026 (Primera División): before kick-off, from both squads' Elo, our model gave Club Nacional 58%, draw 24%, Deportivo Maldonado 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Nacional €806K, Deportivo Maldonado €410K.
- Primera División - Apertura: L. Mejía is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1805).
- Club Nacional are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Before kick-off (provisional): 58% · 24% · 18%(Club Nacional · draw · Deportivo Maldonado)
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Nacional
5th in Primera División - Apertura · 55 pts from 32
- 11 OctWCentral Espanol Uruguay Primera Division1735
- 5 OctWAtletico Torque Uruguay Primera Division1710
- 26 SepWCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1704
- 20 SepWDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1706
- 12 SepDWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1745
Deportivo Maldonado
2nd in Primera División - Apertura · 59 pts from 32
- 9 OctDLiverpool Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division1554
- 3 OctWCentral Espanol Uruguay Primera Division1534
- 27 SepWAtletico Torque Uruguay Primera Division1524
- 19 SepWCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1508
- 13 SepLDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1529
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 134 /69 | 137.8 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 59 /32 | 61.7 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Nacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1805
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –