Primera División · Clausura - 14
Club Nacional vs Albion FC
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Club Nacional host Albion FC on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Nacional 60%, draw 23%, Albion FC 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Nacional €806K, Albion FC €346K.
- Primera División - Apertura: F. Calvo is the highest-rated defender (1874).
- Albion FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Nacional goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Club Nacional 1741 · Albion FC 1522
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Nacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1826
Albion FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1637
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Nacional
4th in Primera División - Apertura · 61 pts from 35
- 1 NovWDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1725
- 25 OctLLiverpool Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division1759
- 19 OctWDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1749
- 11 OctWCentral Espanol Uruguay Primera Division1737
- 5 OctWAtletico Torque Uruguay Primera Division1710
Albion FC
8th in Primera División - Apertura · 47 pts from 35
- 2 NovDDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1540
- 24 OctWCentral Espanol Uruguay Primera Division1519
- 18 OctWAtletico Torque Uruguay Primera Division1507
- 11 OctWCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1474
- 3 OctWDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1460
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 140 /72 | 142.0 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Albion FC | 47 /35 | 47.7 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –