Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 15
Club Guarani 0–2 Nacional Asuncion
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción
Club GuaraniTeam 1501Nacional AsuncionTeam 1569Match story
Club Guarani · draw · Nacional AsuncionBefore kick-off: 38% · 30% · 32%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Hugo Valdez 75'
- Ignacio Bailone 90+3'
We gave Club Guarani 38% to win: Nacional Asuncion won.
- 27'Angel Lucena 1629 +9Nacional Asuncion:Angel Lucena 1629 +9
- 45'Hugo Valdez 1643 +33 for Orlando Gaona Lugo 1614 +5Nacional Asuncion:Hugo Valdez 1643 +33 for Orlando Gaona Lugo 1614 +5
- 45'Ignacio Bailone 1628 +33 for Angel Lucena 1629 +9Nacional Asuncion:Ignacio Bailone 1628 +33 for Angel Lucena 1629 +9
- Armando Méndez 1675 −1957'Club Guarani:Armando Méndez 1675 −19
- Fernando Fernandez 1508 −6 for Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornells 1553 −167'Club Guarani:Fernando Fernandez 1508 −6 for Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornells 1553 −1
- 73'Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez 1426 +8 for Josué Colmán 1752 +12Nacional Asuncion:Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez 1426 +8 for Josué Colmán 1752 +12
- 75'Hugo Valdez 1643 +33 assist Hugo Adrián Benítez 1627 +88Nacional Asuncion:Hugo Valdez 1643 +33 assist Hugo Adrián Benítez 1627 +88
- Thiago Ezequiel Romero 1358 0 for Martín Maldonado 1316 077'Club Guarani:Thiago Ezequiel Romero 1358 0 for Martín Maldonado 1316 0
- Diego·Fernandez 1444 0 for Victor·Cespedes 1305 077'Club Guarani:Diego·Fernandez 1444 0 for Victor·Cespedes 1305 0
- Juan Manuel García 1476 −5 for Jorge Recalde 1442 −777'Club Guarani:Juan Manuel García 1476 −5 for Jorge Recalde 1442 −7
- Carlos Arrua 1519 −2 for Giovanni Emanuel Gómez Lezcano 1276 085'Club Guarani:Carlos Arrua 1519 −2 for Giovanni Emanuel Gómez Lezcano 1276 0
- 89'Jordan·Santacruz 1409 −2 for Fabrizio Jara 1685 +22Nacional Asuncion:Jordan·Santacruz 1409 −2 for Fabrizio Jara 1685 +22
- 90'Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez 1426 +8Nacional Asuncion:Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez 1426 +8
- 90+3'Ignacio Bailone 1628 +33Nacional Asuncion:Ignacio Bailone 1628 +33
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 30% · 32%(Club Guarani · draw · Nacional Asuncion)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Club Guarani €401K, Nacional Asuncion €388K.
- Club Guarani were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Nacional Asuncion were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Guarani
6th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 22 pts from 14
- 11 OctDLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1516
- 3 OctDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1564
- 25 SepWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1545
- 18 SepWSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1552
- 12 SepDCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1525
Nacional Asuncion
4th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 26 pts from 14
- 12 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1572
- 6 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1534
- 25 SepDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1567
- 18 SepW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1529
- 13 SepWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1569
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani | 22 /14 | 33.4 | 1% | 19% | 0% | 7th |
| Nacional Asuncion | 26 /14 | 37.6 | 8% | 65% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Guarani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1681
Nacional Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1783
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Guarani: balanced profile (how Francisco Javier Arce Rolón plays) · Nacional Asuncion: balanced profile (how Víctor Eduardo Ceferino Bernay plays)