Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV host St. Truiden on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Brugge KV 71%, draw 18%, St. Truiden 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Brugge KV €9.7M, St. Truiden €2.0M.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Pro League average of 26% this round.
- Pro League: Y. Sommer is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2330).
- Club Brugge KV's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Brugge KV goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.0 pts
Team Elo: Club Brugge KV 2182 · St. Truiden 1819
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Brugge KV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Good) · Elo 2335
St. Truiden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1954
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Brugge KV
2nd in Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 13 OctWInter UEFA Champions League2207
- 10 OctWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League2205
- 20 SepWGenk Belgium Pro League2181
- 13 SepWAntwerp Belgium Pro League2153
- 8 SepLAston Villa UEFA Champions League2182
St. Truiden
12th in Pro League · 8 pts from 8
- 15 OctWFC Iberia 1999 UEFA Conference League1855
- 11 OctLKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1888
- 20 SepLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1898
- 12 SepLSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1878
- 5 SepWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1886
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 21 /8 | 77.9 | 73% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| St. Truiden | 8 /8 | 42.4 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Brugge KV: possession-based · creative (how Ivan Leko plays) · St. Truiden: possession-based (how Frédéric De Meyer plays)