Liga MX · Apertura - 11
Club America 1–1 Monterrey
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 03:10 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Club AmericaTeam 2011MonterreyTeam 1986- Santiago Bueno 45+4'
- Diego Rossi 18'
We gave Club America 47% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Cristian Borja –3'Club America:Cristian Borja –
- 18'Diego Rossi – assist Orbelín Pineda –Monterrey:Diego Rossi – assist Orbelín Pineda –
- Santiago Bueno –45+4'Club America:Santiago Bueno –
- Miguel Borja – for Raphael Veiga –57'Club America:Miguel Borja – for Raphael Veiga –
- Edwin Cerrillo – for Israel Reyes –57'Club America:Edwin Cerrillo – for Israel Reyes –
- 59'Lucas Ocampos – for Ricardo Chávez –Monterrey:Lucas Ocampos – for Ricardo Chávez –
- 59'Erick Aguirre – for Óliver Torres –Monterrey:Erick Aguirre – for Óliver Torres –
- 62'César Garza –Monterrey:César Garza –
- Carlos Álvarez – for Álex Zendejas –66'Club America:Carlos Álvarez – for Álex Zendejas –
- 67'Fidel Ambriz – for César Garza –Monterrey:Fidel Ambriz – for César Garza –
- 68'C. Reyes – for Jesús Corona –Monterrey:C. Reyes – for Jesús Corona –
- Oscar Andres Perea Abonce – for Cristian Borja –74'Club America:Oscar Andres Perea Abonce – for Cristian Borja –
- Kevin Alvarez – for Henry Martin –74'Club America:Kevin Alvarez – for Henry Martin –
- Miguel Borja –87'Club America:Miguel Borja –
- 88'Iker Fimbres – for Diego Rossi –Monterrey:Iker Fimbres – for Diego Rossi –
Before kick-off (provisional): 47% · 28% · 25%(Club America · draw · Monterrey)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club America €4.2M, Monterrey €3.0M.
- All 11 of Monterrey's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club America
1st in Liga MX · 20 pts from 9
- 28 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1973
- 20 SepDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX2028
- 13 SepLCruz Azul Liga MX2055
- 6 SepLLeon Leagues Cup1989
- 30 AugWPuebla Liga MX1890
Monterrey
10th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 9
- 26 SepLAtlante FC Liga MX1962
- 20 SepWCruz Azul Liga MX1979
- 13 SepDTigres UANL Liga MX1987
- 7 SepLToluca Leagues Cup2002
- 26 AugWChicago Fire Leagues Cup1984
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | 20 /9 | 31.9 | 40% | 85% | 0% | 1st |
| Monterrey | 13 /9 | 24.4 | 1% | 14% | 2% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club America · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2009
Monterrey · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2008
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · high-pressing
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club America: possession-based (how Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves plays) · Monterrey: possession-based (how Matías Jesús Almeyda plays)