Liga MX · Apertura - 14
Club America vs CF Pachuca
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Club America host CF Pachuca on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club America 58%, draw 24%, CF Pachuca 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club America €4.9M, CF Pachuca €2.5M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Liga MX): Club America rank #1 of 18, CF Pachuca #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club America goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Club America 2049 · CF Pachuca 1893
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club America · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2142
CF Pachuca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1951
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club America
1st in Liga MX · 24 pts from 11
- 18 OctWLeon Liga MX2047
- 11 OctDMonterrey Liga MX2081
- 28 SepWNecaxa Liga MX1973
- 20 SepDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX2028
- 13 SepLCruz Azul Liga MX2055
CF Pachuca
14th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 12
- 19 OctLMonterrey Liga MX1905
- 11 OctDNecaxa Liga MX1921
- 27 SepLSantos Laguna Liga MX1928
- 21 SepDClub Tijuana Liga MX1957
- 12 SepWAtlante FC Liga MX1959
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | 24 /11 | 33.4 | 64% | 95% | 0% | 1st |
| CF Pachuca | 13 /12 | 18.6 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · high-pressing
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club America: balanced profile (how Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves plays) · CF Pachuca: dribble-heavy (how Benjamín Mora Mendívil plays)