Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10
Clermont Foot vs Guingamp
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Clermont Foot host Guingamp on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Clermont Foot 43%, draw 28%, Guingamp 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Clermont Foot €367K, Guingamp €375K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Ligue 2): Clermont Foot rank #18 of 19, Guingamp #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Clermont Foot goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Clermont Foot 1545 · Guingamp 1519
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Clermont Foot · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1473
Guingamp · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1611
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Clermont Foot
16th in Ligue 2 · 7 pts from 9
- 16 OctDLaval France Ligue 21588
- 10 OctLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21526
- 18 SepDGrenoble France Ligue 21499
- 11 SepDBoulogne France Ligue 21554
- 4 SepDDunkerque France Ligue 21490
Guingamp
13th in Ligue 2 · 8 pts from 9
- 16 OctLPAU France Ligue 21473
- 9 OctLNancy France Ligue 21531
- 19 SepLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21546
- 12 SepWAnnecy France Ligue 21475
- 5 SepDReims France Ligue 21463
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont Foot | 7 /9 | 35.1 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 17th |
| Guingamp | 8 /9 | 35.5 | 0% | <1% | 46% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Clermont Foot: balanced profile (how David Guion plays) · Guingamp: balanced profile (how Sylvain Ripoll plays)