Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Chornomorets vs Karpaty
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Chornomorets Stadium, Odessa
Chornomorets host Karpaty on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chornomorets 27%, draw 28%, Karpaty 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chornomorets €247K, Karpaty €486K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Premier League): Chornomorets rank #14 of 15, Karpaty #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chornomorets goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Chornomorets 1395 · Karpaty 1594
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chornomorets · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1438
Karpaty · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1678
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chornomorets
14th in Premier League · 5 pts from 8
- 17 OctLZorya Luhansk Ukraine Premier League1399
- 10 OctLFC Kharkiv Ukraine Premier League1404
- 18 SepDObolon'-Brovar Ukraine Premier League1388
- 14 SepLShakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Premier League1388
- 4 SepDLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1414
Karpaty
4th in Premier League · 15 pts from 9
- 18 OctDEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Ukraine Premier League1561
- 11 OctLDynamo Kyiv Ukraine Premier League1584
- 20 SepDVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League1558
- 5 SepLShakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Premier League1640
- 29 AugDLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1607
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 5 /8 | 25.4 | 0% | 0% | 61% | 16th |
| Karpaty | 15 /9 | 44.7 | <1% | 9% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chornomorets: low-volume (how Roman Hryhorchuk plays) · Karpaty: balanced profile (how Francisco Javier Fernández Díaz plays)