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Premier League · Regular Season - 8

Chornomorets 1–2 FC Kharkiv

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Chornomorets Stadium, Odessa

Chornomorets crestChornomoretsTeam 1399
1–2
Full time
HT 0–1
FC Kharkiv crestFC KharkivTeam 1758

Match story

Chornomorets · draw · FC Kharkiv

Before kick-off: 17% · 26% · 57%

Live chances: Chornomorets 0%, draw 2%, FC Kharkiv 98% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 26%, FC Kharkiv 57%2' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 26%, FC Kharkiv 57%3' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 26%, FC Kharkiv 57%4' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 26%, FC Kharkiv 57%5' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 26%, FC Kharkiv 57%7' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 26%, FC Kharkiv 56%8' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 27%, FC Kharkiv 56%10' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 27%, FC Kharkiv 56%11' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 27%, FC Kharkiv 55%12' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 17%, draw 27%, FC Kharkiv 55%13' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 18%, draw 28%, FC Kharkiv 55%14' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 18%, draw 28%, FC Kharkiv 55%15' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 18%, draw 28%, FC Kharkiv 54%16' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 18%, draw 28%, FC Kharkiv 54%17' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 18%, draw 28%, FC Kharkiv 54%18' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 18%, draw 29%, FC Kharkiv 54%19' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 8%, draw 21%, FC Kharkiv 71%20' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 8%, draw 21%, FC Kharkiv 71%21' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 8%, draw 22%, FC Kharkiv 70%22' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 8%, draw 22%, FC Kharkiv 70%23' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 8%, draw 22%, FC Kharkiv 70%25' · 0–0 · Chornomorets 8%, draw 23%, FC Kharkiv 69%25' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%26' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%27' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%28' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%29' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%30' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%31' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%32' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%33' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%34' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%35' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 89%36' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 88%37' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%38' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%39' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%40' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%41' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%42' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%43' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%44' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%45' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%45+1' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%45+2' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%HT · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%46' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%47' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%48' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%49' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%50' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%51' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%52' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%53' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%54' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%55' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%56' · 0–1 · Chornomorets 2%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 88%57' · 0–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 1%, FC Kharkiv 99%58' · 0–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 1%, FC Kharkiv 99%59' · 0–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 1%, FC Kharkiv 99%61' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%62' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%63' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%64' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%65' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%66' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%67' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%68' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%69' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 89%70' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 10%, FC Kharkiv 90%71' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 90%72' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 90%73' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 90%74' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 90%75' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 90%76' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 91%77' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 9%, FC Kharkiv 91%78' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 8%, FC Kharkiv 91%79' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 8%, FC Kharkiv 91%80' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 1%, draw 8%, FC Kharkiv 92%81' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 8%, FC Kharkiv 92%82' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 7%, FC Kharkiv 92%83' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 7%, FC Kharkiv 92%84' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 7%, FC Kharkiv 93%85' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 6%, FC Kharkiv 93%86' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 6%, FC Kharkiv 94%87' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 6%, FC Kharkiv 94%88' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 5%, FC Kharkiv 94%89' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 5%, FC Kharkiv 95%90' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 4%, FC Kharkiv 95%90+1' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 4%, FC Kharkiv 96%90+2' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 3%, FC Kharkiv 97%90+3' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 3%, FC Kharkiv 97%90+4' · 1–2 · Chornomorets 0%, draw 2%, FC Kharkiv 98%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 2% · 98%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC Kharkiv 57% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Chornomorets:Jerry Yoka 1363 −8*
  2. 24'FC Kharkiv:Carlos Paraco 1746 +33*
  3. 48'FC Kharkiv:Ramik Gadzhiev 1635 +12*
  4. 57'FC Kharkiv:Baton Zabergja 1713 +32 assist Ivan Kalyuzhny 2015 −3*
  5. 60'Chornomorets:Kiril·Popov 1441 −16* assist M. Jobe 1258 −8*
  6. 63'FC Kharkiv:Oleksandr Yatsyk 1733 −3* for Baton Zabergja 1713 +32
  7. 76'Chornomorets:Vladyslav Gerych 1294 −8* for Danyil Alefirenko 1504 −13*
  8. 76'Chornomorets:Oleksiy Gusev 1413 −8* for Vladyslav Klymenko 1409 −13*
  9. 84'FC Kharkiv:Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez 1136 −5* for Carlos Paraco 1746 +33*
  10. 84'FC Kharkiv:Ermir Rashica 1703 −6* for Peter Itodo 1719 +8*
  11. 85'Chornomorets:Andriy Khoma 1354 −8* for M. Jobe 1258 −8*
  12. 90'FC Kharkiv:Oleksandr Yatsyk 1733 −3*
  13. 90+2'FC Kharkiv:Denys Antyukh 1769 −9* for Ramik Gadzhiev 1635 +12*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GC. Aniagboso1518−14*
DV. Klymenko1409−13*
DM. Jarju1428−10*
DM. Farina1456−11*
DO. Pushkarev1254−8*
MM. Jobe1258−8*
MG. Robakidze1318−8*
MK. Popov1441−16*
MV. Faraseenko1436−10*
MD. Alefirenko1504−13*
FJ. Yoka1363−8*
CR. Grigorchuk1426−11*
GH. Ermakov1883+3*
DI. Krupskyi1889+11
DV. Salyuk1840+26*
DA. Shabanov1844−2*
DA. Smolyakov1923+2*
MR. Gadzhiev1635+12*
MI. Kalyuzhnyi2015−3*
MY. Pavlyuk1864+4*
MB. Zabërgja1713+32
FC. Paraco1746+33*
FP. Itodo1719+8*
CM. Bartulović1895+11*
Before kick-off: 17% · 26% · 57%(Chornomorets · draw · FC Kharkiv)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–2 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Chornomorets €254K, FC Kharkiv €1.3M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 8: 351 points.
  • Style contrast in attacking (Premier League): Chornomorets ranked #13 of 14, FC Kharkiv #2.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Chornomorets

12th in Premier League · 5 pts from 6

  • 18 SepDObolon'-Brovar 1388
  • 14 SepLShakhtar Donetsk 1388
  • 4 SepDLivyi Bereh 1414
  • 30 AugWKryvbas KR 1395
  • 16 AugLLNZ Cherkasy 1397

FC Kharkiv

5th in Premier League · 12 pts from 6

  • 19 SepWBukovyna 1786
  • 5 SepWObolon'-Brovar 1774
  • 31 AugWZorya Luhansk 1743
  • 16 AugLShakhtar Donetsk 1774
  • 10 AugLPolessya 1716

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Chornomorets5 /627.60%0%52%15th
FC Kharkiv12 /655.51%81%0%4th
Chornomorets
FC Kharkiv

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

H. Ermakov
H. Ermakov

FC Kharkiv · -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1880

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Roman Grygorchuk

Coach DNA: –

Mladen Bartulović

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Chornomorets: low-volume (how Roman Grygorchuk plays) · FC Kharkiv: creative · shot-heavy (how Mladen Bartulović plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.