Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Chornomorets vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Chornomorets Stadium, Odessa
Chornomorets host Epitsentr Dunayivtsi on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chornomorets 37%, draw 29%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chornomorets €269K, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi €354K.
- Home advantage makes Chornomorets the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chornomorets goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–011%
- 0–110%
- 0–010%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Chornomorets 1392 · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1450
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chornomorets · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1279
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1619
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chornomorets
11th in Premier League · 9 pts from 11
- 7 NovLKudrivka Ukraine Premier League1420
- 31 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League1375
- 25 OctDKarpaty Ukraine Premier League1363
- 17 OctLZorya Luhansk Ukraine Premier League1362
- 10 OctLFC Kharkiv Ukraine Premier League1375
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9th in Premier League · 10 pts from 12
- 7 NovDKryvbas KR Ukraine Premier League1430
- 2 NovLZorya Luhansk Ukraine Premier League1444
- 24 OctLFC Kharkiv Ukraine Premier League1459
- 18 OctDKarpaty Ukraine Premier League1473
- 10 OctLKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1477
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 9 /11 | 26.2 | 0% | 0% | 45% | 16th |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 10 /12 | 29.4 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chornomorets: low-volume (how Roman Hryhorchuk plays) · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: balanced profile (how Sergiy Nagornyak plays)