Super League · Regular Season - 29
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Tongliang Long Stadium, Chongqing
Chongqing Tongliang Long host Qingdao Jonoon on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chongqing Tongliang Long 47%, draw 28%, Qingdao Jonoon 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chongqing Tongliang Long €345K, Qingdao Jonoon €196K.
- Qingdao Jonoon's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chongqing Tongliang Long goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1566 · Qingdao Jonoon 1502
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chongqing Tongliang Long · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1725
Qingdao Jonoon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1713
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chongqing Tongliang Long
9th in Super League · 33 pts from 28
- 17 OctDYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1612
- 11 OctDShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1576
- 6 SepLShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1584
- 29 AugDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1489
- 23 AugLDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1688
Qingdao Jonoon
16th in Super League · 14 pts from 28
- 17 OctLShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1476
- 9 OctLBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1496
- 5 SepLDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1520
- 29 AugLWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1660
- 23 AugLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1604
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | 33 /28 | 35.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
| Qingdao Jonoon | 14 /28 | 16.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chongqing Tongliang Long: balanced profile (how Jianye Liu plays) · Qingdao Jonoon: balanced profile (how Milan Ristić plays)