Primera A · Clausura - 5
Chico vs Junior
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 01:05 UTC · Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Chico host Junior on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chico 34%, draw 29%, Junior 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chico €226K, Junior €480K.
- Chico's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Junior's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chico goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Chico 1500 · Junior 1663
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1555
Junior · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1744
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chico
18th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 17 OctLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1515
- 11 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1526
- 3 OctDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1522
- 25 SepWDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1465
- 19 SepLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1448
Junior
2nd in Primera A · 35 pts from 19
- 19 OctDDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1667
- 14 OctDDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1669
- 10 OctDInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1623
- 4 OctLBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1649
- 1 OctLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1666
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chico | 17 /19 | 23.5 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 18th |
| Junior | 35 /19 | 42.6 | 1% | 74% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chico: balanced profile (how Jhon Jaime Gómez plays) · Junior: balanced profile (how Mario Sebastián Viera Galain plays)