Primera A · Clausura - 18
Chico vs Internacional de Bogota
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Chico host Internacional de Bogota on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chico 42%, draw 29%, Internacional de Bogota 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chico €200K, Internacional de Bogota €306K.
- Home advantage makes Chico the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
- Chico's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chico goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Chico 1534 · Internacional de Bogota 1596
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1610
Internacional de Bogota · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1557
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chico
18th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 23 OctWBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1498
- 20 OctLDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1511
- 17 OctLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1515
- 11 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1526
- 3 OctDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1522
Internacional de Bogota
8th in Primera A · 28 pts from 19
- 20 OctWFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1564
- 10 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1559
- 4 OctDOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1576
- 26 SepDDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1590
- 20 SepLBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1598
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chico | 17 /19 | 21.5 | 0% | 0% | 63% | 19th |
| Internacional de Bogota | 28 /19 | 33.3 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chico: balanced profile (how J. Gómez plays) · Internacional de Bogota: direct (how R. Valiño plays)