Primera A · Clausura - 14
Chico 0–1 Cucuta
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 23:10 UTC · Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
ChicoTeam 1514CucutaTeam 1502- Dayan Pérez 70'
We gave Chico 48% to win: Cucuta won.
- Cristián Mosquera –9'Chico:Cristián Mosquera –
- Jhonier Alomia –30'Chico:Jhonier Alomia –
- Jefferson Mena –43'Chico:Jefferson Mena –
- 61'Jaime Peralta –Cucuta:Jaime Peralta –
- Yesus Cabrera – for Jacobo Pimentel –64'Chico:Yesus Cabrera – for Jacobo Pimentel –
- Delio Ramírez – for Alejandro Maya64'Chico:Delio Ramírez – for Alejandro Maya
- 64'Victor Mejia –Cucuta:Victor Mejia –
- 67'Yair Abonia – for Sebastián Tamara –Cucuta:Yair Abonia – for Sebastián Tamara –
- 70'Dayan Pérez – assist Jaime Peralta –Cucuta:Dayan Pérez – assist Jaime Peralta –
- 72'Diego Calcaterra – for Gustavo Torres –Cucuta:Diego Calcaterra – for Gustavo Torres –
- 72'Marlon Carabalí – for Dayan Pérez –Cucuta:Marlon Carabalí – for Dayan Pérez –
- Felipe Cifuentes – for Sebastian Salazar –75'Chico:Felipe Cifuentes – for Sebastian Salazar –
- 85'Juan Ceballos – for Leider Berdugo –Cucuta:Juan Ceballos – for Leider Berdugo –
- 85'Santiago Vásquez – for Victor Mejia –Cucuta:Santiago Vásquez – for Victor Mejia –
- Daniel Polanco – for S. Mera –87'Chico:Daniel Polanco – for S. Mera –
Before kick-off (provisional): 48% · 27% · 25%(Chico · draw · Cucuta)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chico €189K, Cucuta €252K.
- Chico's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.1 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chico
18th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 3 OctDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1522
- 25 SepWDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1465
- 19 SepLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1448
- 16 SepLAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1442
- 12 SepWIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1407
Cucuta
19th in Primera A · 16 pts from 19
- 4 OctWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1477
- 26 SepWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1457
- 19 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1491
- 14 SepLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1470
- 5 SepDDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1467
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chico | 17 /19 | 26.6 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 16th |
| Cucuta | 16 /19 | 23.8 | 0% | 0% | 53% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1581
Cucuta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1517
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chico: balanced profile (how Jhon Jaime Gómez plays) · Cucuta: balanced profile (how Nicolás Hernán Chiesa plays)