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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Soldier Field, Chicago

Chicago Fire crestChicago FireTeam 1972
2–1
Full time
HT 0–1
New York City FC crestNew York City FCTeam 1963

Match story

Chicago Fire · draw · New York City FC

Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%

Live chances: Chicago Fire 100%, draw 0%, New York City FC 0% at 90+9'2' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 45%, draw 28%, New York City FC 27%3' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 45%, draw 28%, New York City FC 27%4' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 45%, draw 28%, New York City FC 27%5' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 45%, draw 29%, New York City FC 27%6' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 45%, draw 29%, New York City FC 27%7' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 45%, draw 29%, New York City FC 27%8' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 44%, draw 29%, New York City FC 26%9' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 44%, draw 29%, New York City FC 26%10' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 44%, draw 29%, New York City FC 26%11' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 44%, draw 30%, New York City FC 26%12' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 44%, draw 30%, New York City FC 26%13' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 44%, draw 30%, New York City FC 26%14' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 44%, draw 30%, New York City FC 26%15' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 43%, draw 30%, New York City FC 26%16' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 43%, draw 30%, New York City FC 26%17' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 43%, draw 31%, New York City FC 26%18' · 0–0 · Chicago Fire 43%, draw 31%, New York City FC 26%19' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 23%, draw 26%, New York City FC 50%20' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 23%, draw 27%, New York City FC 51%21' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 23%, draw 27%, New York City FC 51%22' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 22%, draw 27%, New York City FC 51%23' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 22%, draw 27%, New York City FC 51%24' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 22%, draw 27%, New York City FC 51%25' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 22%, draw 27%, New York City FC 52%26' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 21%, draw 27%, New York City FC 52%27' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 21%, draw 27%, New York City FC 52%28' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 21%, draw 27%, New York City FC 52%29' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 21%, draw 27%, New York City FC 53%30' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 20%, draw 27%, New York City FC 53%31' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 20%, draw 27%, New York City FC 53%32' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 20%, draw 27%, New York City FC 53%33' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 27%, New York City FC 54%34' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 27%, New York City FC 54%35' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 27%, New York City FC 54%36' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 27%, New York City FC 54%37' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 18%, draw 27%, New York City FC 55%38' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 18%, draw 27%, New York City FC 55%39' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 18%, draw 27%, New York City FC 55%40' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 17%, draw 27%, New York City FC 56%41' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 17%, draw 27%, New York City FC 56%42' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 17%, draw 27%, New York City FC 56%43' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 16%, draw 27%, New York City FC 56%44' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 7%, draw 20%, New York City FC 73%45' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 7%, draw 20%, New York City FC 73%45+1' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 7%, draw 20%, New York City FC 73%45+2' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 7%, draw 20%, New York City FC 74%45+3' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 7%, draw 20%, New York City FC 74%45+4' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 7%, draw 20%, New York City FC 74%HT · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 7%, draw 20%, New York City FC 74%47' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 6%, draw 20%, New York City FC 74%48' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 6%, draw 19%, New York City FC 74%49' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 6%, draw 19%, New York City FC 74%50' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 6%, draw 19%, New York City FC 75%51' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 6%, draw 19%, New York City FC 75%52' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 6%, draw 19%, New York City FC 75%53' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 6%, draw 19%, New York City FC 75%54' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 5%, draw 19%, New York City FC 76%55' · 0–1 · Chicago Fire 5%, draw 19%, New York City FC 76%56' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 20%, draw 45%, New York City FC 34%57' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 20%, draw 46%, New York City FC 34%58' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 20%, draw 47%, New York City FC 33%59' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 20%, draw 47%, New York City FC 33%60' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 48%, New York City FC 33%61' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 49%, New York City FC 32%62' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 50%, New York City FC 32%63' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 19%, draw 50%, New York City FC 31%64' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 18%, draw 51%, New York City FC 31%65' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 18%, draw 52%, New York City FC 30%66' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 18%, draw 53%, New York City FC 30%67' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 18%, draw 53%, New York City FC 29%68' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 17%, draw 54%, New York City FC 29%69' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 17%, draw 55%, New York City FC 28%70' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 17%, draw 56%, New York City FC 27%71' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 16%, draw 57%, New York City FC 27%72' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 16%, draw 58%, New York City FC 26%73' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 15%, draw 59%, New York City FC 25%74' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 15%, draw 60%, New York City FC 25%75' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 15%, draw 61%, New York City FC 24%76' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 14%, draw 62%, New York City FC 23%77' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 14%, draw 63%, New York City FC 23%78' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 13%, draw 65%, New York City FC 22%79' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 13%, draw 66%, New York City FC 21%80' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 12%, draw 67%, New York City FC 20%81' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 12%, draw 69%, New York City FC 19%82' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 11%, draw 70%, New York City FC 19%83' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 11%, draw 71%, New York City FC 18%84' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 10%, draw 73%, New York City FC 17%85' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 10%, draw 75%, New York City FC 16%86' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 9%, draw 76%, New York City FC 15%87' · 1–1 · Chicago Fire 9%, draw 78%, New York City FC 14%88' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 87%, draw 12%, New York City FC 1%89' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 88%, draw 11%, New York City FC 1%90' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 90%, draw 10%, New York City FC 1%90+1' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 91%, draw 8%, New York City FC 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 93%, draw 7%, New York City FC 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 94%, draw 6%, New York City FC 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 96%, draw 4%, New York City FC 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 97%, draw 3%, New York City FC 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 99%, draw 1%, New York City FC 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 100%, draw 0%, New York City FC 0%90+8' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 100%, draw 0%, New York City FC 0%90+9' · 2–1 · Chicago Fire 100%, draw 0%, New York City FC 0%

Last reading, 90+9': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Chicago Fire 45% to win: they did.

  1. 19'New York City FC:Hannes Wolf 1958 −23* assist Agustin Ojeda 1963 −19*
  2. 20'Chicago Fire:Djé D'Avilla 2066 +6
  3. 43'Chicago Fire:Djé D'Avilla 2066 +6
  4. 45'Chicago Fire:Mauricio Pineda 1894 +9 for Jonathan Bamba 2015 +5
  5. 45'New York City FC:Kevin O'Toole 1923 −10* for Nico Cavallo 1843 −8*
  6. 55'Chicago Fire:Anton Saletros 2004 +43 assist Maren Haile-Selassie 2065 +39
  7. 60'New York City FC:Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 1739 −8* for Alonso Martinez 1977 −13*
  8. 60'New York City FC:Raul Bicalho 1920 −9* for Andrés Perea 1945 −11*
  9. 64'Chicago Fire:Mbekezeli Mbokazi 2043 +14
  10. 71'Chicago Fire:Puso Dithejane 1697 +7 for Philip Zinckernagel 2033 +25
  11. 71'Chicago Fire:Johan Arath Gomez 1755 +6 for Robert Lewandowski 2055 −1
  12. 71'Chicago Fire:Noah Allen 2137 −6* for Leonardo Barroso 1931 +16
  13. 75'New York City FC:Bénie Adama Traoré 1867 −8* for Agustin Ojeda 1963 −19*
  14. 76'New York City FC:Jonathan Shore 1868 −8* for James Sands 1953 −13*
  15. 82'New York City FC:Malachi Jones 1683 −8* for Hannes Wolf 1958 −23*
  16. 87'Chicago Fire:Maren Haile-Selassie 2065 +39
  17. 90+4'Chicago Fire:Mauricio Pineda 1894 +9
  18. 90+5'Chicago Fire:Andreas Hanche-Olsen 1958 −9* for Maren Haile-Selassie 2065 +39

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Freese2003−15*
DT. Gray1973−26*
DThiago Martins1926−23*
DJ. Sands1953−13*
DNico Cavallo1843−8*
MA. O'Neill1959−15*
MA. Perea1945−11*
MA. Ojeda1963−19*
MN. Fernández Mercau1936−22*
MH. Wolf1958−23*
FA. Martínez1977−13*
CP. Jansen1936−17*
Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%(Chicago Fire · draw · New York City FC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Chicago Fire €2.9M, New York City FC €3.0M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Chicago Fire

4th in MLS · 45 pts from 27

  • 7 OctWVancouver Whitecaps 1950
  • 26 SepWCharlotte 1917
  • 20 SepLNashville SC 2001
  • 13 SepLNew England Revolution 1947
  • 10 SepDInter Miami 2017

New York City FC

9th in MLS · 33 pts from 27

  • 26 SepDAtlanta United FC 1918
  • 18 SepLNew York Red Bulls 1953
  • 13 SepWReal Salt Lake 1916
  • 10 SepLNew England Revolution 1942
  • 4 SepDNashville SC 1936

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Chicago Fire45 /2755.10%18%0%8th
New York City FC33 /2742.00%0%1%18th
Chicago Fire
New York City FC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

P. Zinckernagel
P. Zinckernagel

Chicago Fire · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2009

N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau

New York City FC · +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1957

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gregg Matthew Berhalter

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Pascal Jansen

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Chicago Fire: balanced profile (how Gregg Matthew Berhalter plays) · New York City FC: balanced profile (how Pascal Jansen plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.