Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 9
Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Chiangrai United host Lamphun Warrior on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Thai League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chiangrai United 36%, draw 29%, Lamphun Warrior 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chiangrai United €125K, Lamphun Warrior €174K.
- Home advantage makes Chiangrai United the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Lamphun Warrior's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chiangrai United goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–08%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- 0–08%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Chiangrai United 1282 · Lamphun Warrior 1346
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chiangrai United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1397
Lamphun Warrior · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1464
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chiangrai United
15th in Thai League 1 · 5 pts from 7
- 7 NovDUthai Thani Thailand Thai League 11284
- 24 OctLBG Pathum United Thailand Thai League 11280
- 18 OctLRatchaburi Thailand Thai League 11249
- 11 OctLPrachuap Thailand Thai League 11272
- 3 MayDLamphun Warrior Thailand Thai League 11396
Lamphun Warrior
9th in Thai League 1 · 11 pts from 8
- 6 NovDSukhothai FC Thailand Thai League 11395
- 1 NovWRayong FC Thailand Thai League 11323
- 25 OctWPattani Thailand Thai League 11350
- 16 OctWAyutthaya FC Thailand Thai League 11293
- 11 OctLBangkok United Thailand Thai League 11278
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai United | 5 /7 | 32.7 | 0% | <1% | 37% | 14th |
| Lamphun Warrior | 11 /8 | 39.1 | <1% | 4% | 8% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chiangrai United: direct · low-volume (how Worawut Wangsawad plays) · Lamphun Warrior: direct (how Dennis Amato plays)