First League · Regular Season - 12

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia

Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Ticha, Varna

Cherno More Varna host Septemvri Sofia on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cherno More Varna 48%, draw 27%, Septemvri Sofia 25%.

Average value of the expected XI: Cherno More Varna €204K, Septemvri Sofia €212K.

Provisional prediction

From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Most likely scores

Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cherno More Varna goals first.

1–1
13%
1–0
10%
2–1
9%
2–0
9%
0–0
8%
1–2
6%
Other scores
45%

Team Elo: Cherno More Varna 1428 · Septemvri Sofia 1351

Probable line-ups

Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1

GD. Hristov1300

DV. Kerchev1467

DL. Squadrone1432

DE. Tombak1450

DZ. Atanasov1457

MM. Achi1342

MDavid Teles1417

MV. Panayotov1402

MI. Bounaas1245

FA. Donchev1507

FCelso Sidney1411

CIlian Dimov Iliev1541

GV. Ivanov1172

DM. Hristov1497

DV. Ozornwafor1494

DSebastian Wade1488

MB. Penchev1368

MY. Baurenski1487

MPedro Ferreira1200

MG. Ivanov1138

FF. Herard1331

FPedro Igor1515

FE. Ribeiro1187

CSimao Freitas1242

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cherno More Varna

14th in First League · 6 pts from 11

11 OctLLevski Sofia Bulgarian First League1402
19 SepDArda Kardzhali Bulgarian First League1407
11 SepDLokomotiv Sofia Bulgarian First League1438
6 SepLLokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1457
30 AugLCSKA Sofia Bulgarian First League1475

Septemvri Sofia

13th in First League · 8 pts from 11

11 OctLDunav Ruse Bulgarian First League1361
19 SepLBotev Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1375
14 SepLLudogorets Bulgarian First League1372
4 SepLBotev Vratsa Bulgarian First League1390
28 AugDSlavia Sofia Bulgarian First League1349

Season outlook

From the First League simulation.

Club	Pts now	Pred. pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Most likely
Cherno More Varna	6 /11	24.7	0%	0%	40%	12th
Septemvri Sofia	8 /11	23.7	0%	0%	52%	13th

Cherno More Varna

Septemvri Sofia

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ilian Dimov Iliev

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Simao Freitas

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cherno More Varna: balanced profile (how Ilian Dimov Iliev plays) · Septemvri Sofia: low-volume · direct (how Simao Freitas plays)