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First League · Regular Season - 11

Cherno More Varna 0–2 Levski Sofia

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Ticha Stadium, Varna

Cherno More Varna crestCherno More VarnaTeam 1381
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Levski Sofia crestLevski SofiaTeam 1721

We gave Levski Sofia 56% to win: they did.

  1. 24'Levski Sofia:Gasper Trdin 1775 +9*
  2. 27'Levski Sofia:Mehdi Moubarik 1739 +12*
  3. 38'Levski Sofia:Álex Centelles 1835 for Mustapha Sangaré 1673 +15*
  4. 57'Cherno More Varna:Ivan·Tasev 1424 for Mohamed Achi Bouakline 1342 −8*
  5. 60'Levski Sofia:Kristian Dimitrov 1753 for Gasper Trdin 1775 +9*
  6. 60'Levski Sofia:Aldair 1773 for Wabo Oliver Kamdem 1679 +15*
  7. 60'Cherno More Varna:L. Squadrone 1432 −9*
  8. 63'Levski Sofia:Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno 1722 +13*
  9. 71'Cherno More Varna:Berk Beyhan 1483 for Idris·Bounaas 1245 −8*
  10. 71'Cherno More Varna:Padilla Jorge 1284 for Vasil Panayotov 1402 −17*
  11. 78'Cherno More Varna:Miguel barandas 1186 for celso sidney 1411 −8*
  12. 78'Cherno More Varna:Nestorly lumbu for Georgi ventsislavov 1241 −8*
  13. 81'Cherno More Varna:Padilla Jorge 1284
  14. 84'Cherno More Varna:Ertan Tombak 1450 −11*
  15. 87'Levski Sofia:Juan Perea 1596 for Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno 1722 +13*
  16. 87'Levski Sofia:Steven Stoyanchov 1407 for bala everton 1811 +7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GD. Hristov1300−8*
DV. Kerchev1467−13*
DG. Ventsislavov1241−8*
DL. Squadrone1432−9*
DE. Tombak1450−11*
MDavid Teles1417−9*
MI. Bounaas1245−8*
MM. Achi1342−8*
MV. Panayotov1402−17*
FA. Donchev1507−14*
FCelso Sidney1411−8*
CIlian Iliev1541−16*
GO. Vladimirov1322+39*
DO. Kamdem1679+15*
MG. Trdin1775+9*
DC. Makoun1749+11*
FMaicon1771+10*
MM. Grujić1946−2*
ME. El Moubarik1739+12*
MSerginho1803+8*
FReinaldo1722+13*
FM. Sangaré1673+15*
FEverton Bala1811+7*
CJulio Velázquez1838+7*
Before kick-off: 18% · 25% · 56%(Cherno More Varna · draw · Levski Sofia)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–2 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Cherno More Varna €232K, Levski Sofia €947K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cherno More Varna

13th in First League · 6 pts from 10

  • 19 SepDArda Kardzhali 1407
  • 11 SepDLokomotiv Sofia 1438
  • 6 SepLLokomotiv Plovdiv 1457
  • 30 AugLCSKA Sofia 1475
  • 21 AugWDunav Ruse 1425

Levski Sofia

1st in First League · 25 pts from 9

  • 17 SepLRed Bull Salzburg 1788
  • 13 SepDBotev Vratsa 1749
  • 5 SepWCSKA 1948 1753
  • 2 SepWSlavia Sofia 1750
  • 30 AugWBotev Plovdiv 1723

Season outlook

From the First League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Cherno More Varna6 /1026.10%0%34%12th
Levski Sofia25 /955.437%99%0%1st
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Serginho
Serginho

Levski Sofia · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1795

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ilian Dimov Iliev

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Julio Velázquez Santiago

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cherno More Varna: balanced profile (how Ilian Dimov Iliev plays) · Levski Sofia: shot-heavy · creative (how Julio Velázquez Santiago plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.