Indian Super League · Regular Season - 6
Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Chennai
Chennaiyin host Minerva Punjab on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Indian Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chennaiyin 41%, draw 29%, Minerva Punjab 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chennaiyin €175K, Minerva Punjab €198K.
- Home advantage makes Chennaiyin the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chennaiyin goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–07%
- 1–27%
- 0–17%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Chennaiyin 1402 · Minerva Punjab 1406
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chennaiyin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1549
Minerva Punjab · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1567
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chennaiyin
8th in Indian Super League · 5 pts from 5
- 7 NovWEast Bengal II India ISL1409
- 31 OctDKerala Blasters India ISL1403
- 26 OctLATK Mohun Bagan India ISL1400
- 17 OctLBengaluru India ISL1393
- 10 OctDGoa India ISL1411
Minerva Punjab
5th in Indian Super League · 7 pts from 4
- 31 OctLATK Mohun Bagan India ISL1434
- 25 OctWChurchill Brothers India ISL1390
- 19 OctDMumbai City India ISL1367
- 14 OctWOdisha India ISL1415
- 21 MayLMumbai City India ISL1426
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chennaiyin | 5 /5 | 15.6 | <1% | 13% | 14% | 7th |
| Minerva Punjab | 7 /4 | 17.4 | 2% | 26% | 6% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chennaiyin: direct (how C. Miranda plays) · Minerva Punjab: balanced profile (how Pavlos Dermitzakis plays)