Indian Super League · Regular Season - 4
Chennaiyin vs Kerala Blasters
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Chennai
Chennaiyin host Kerala Blasters on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Indian Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chennaiyin 36%, draw 29%, Kerala Blasters 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chennaiyin €161K, Kerala Blasters €197K.
- Home advantage makes Chennaiyin the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Indian Super League): Chennaiyin rank #2 of 10, Kerala Blasters #8.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chennaiyin goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Chennaiyin 1388 · Kerala Blasters 1454
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chennaiyin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1468
Kerala Blasters · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1513
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chennaiyin
10th in Indian Super League · 1 pts from 2
- 17 OctLBengaluru India ISL1398
- 10 OctDGoa India ISL1416
- 16 MayLBengaluru India ISL1275
- 10 MayLNorthEast United India ISL1326
- 6 MayLMinerva Punjab India ISL1345
Kerala Blasters
6th in Indian Super League · 3 pts from 2
- 18 OctLNorthEast United India ISL1489
- 11 OctWInter Kashi India ISL1451
- 18 MayWGoa India ISL1405
- 10 MayWMohammedan India ISL1400
- 23 AprWOdisha India ISL1360
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chennaiyin | 1 /2 | 14.7 | 1% | 13% | 28% | 10th |
| Kerala Blasters | 3 /2 | 17.7 | 6% | 33% | 9% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chennaiyin: direct (how Clifford Miranda Rayes plays) · Kerala Blasters: balanced profile (how David Català Jiménez plays)