Super League · Regular Season - 29
Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
Chengdu Better City host Dalian Zhixing on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chengdu Better City 46%, draw 28%, Dalian Zhixing 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chengdu Better City €473K, Dalian Zhixing €274K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Super League): Chengdu Better City rank #15 of 18, Dalian Zhixing #3.
- All 11 of Dalian Zhixing's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Dalian Zhixing are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chengdu Better City goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Chengdu Better City 1739 · Dalian Zhixing 1692
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chengdu Better City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1788
Dalian Zhixing · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1764
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chengdu Better City
1st in Super League · 52 pts from 28
- 18 OctLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1727
- 10 OctLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1804
- 6 SepDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1831
- 29 AugWShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1810
- 22 AugLShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1828
Dalian Zhixing
2nd in Super League · 46 pts from 28
- 17 OctWSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1680
- 11 OctWQingdao Youth Island Chinese Super League1674
- 5 SepWQingdao Jonoon Chinese Super League1679
- 28 AugDBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1679
- 23 AugWChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1650
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City | 52 /28 | 54.9 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Dalian Zhixing | 46 /28 | 48.6 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chengdu Better City: balanced profile (how John Aloisi plays) · Dalian Zhixing: balanced profile (how Guoxu Li plays)