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League Two · Regular Season - 10

Cheltenham 0–2 Salford City

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Cheltenham crestCheltenhamTeam 1502
0–2
Full time
HT 0–0
Salford City crestSalford CityTeam 1785

Match story

Cheltenham · draw · Salford City

Before kick-off: 21% · 26% · 53%

Live chances: Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100% at 90+10'2' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 26%, Salford City 53%3' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 26%, Salford City 52%4' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 27%, Salford City 52%5' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 27%, Salford City 52%6' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 27%, Salford City 52%7' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 27%, Salford City 52%8' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 27%, Salford City 52%9' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 27%, Salford City 51%10' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 28%, Salford City 51%11' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 28%, Salford City 51%12' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 28%, Salford City 51%14' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 28%, Salford City 50%15' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 28%, Salford City 50%17' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 29%, Salford City 50%18' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 29%, Salford City 49%19' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 29%, Salford City 49%20' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 29%, Salford City 49%21' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 30%, Salford City 49%22' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 30%, Salford City 49%23' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 30%, Salford City 48%24' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 30%, Salford City 48%25' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 31%, Salford City 48%26' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 31%, Salford City 48%27' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 31%, Salford City 47%28' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 31%, Salford City 47%29' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 31%, Salford City 47%30' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 32%, Salford City 47%31' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 22%, draw 32%, Salford City 46%32' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 32%, Salford City 46%33' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 33%, Salford City 46%35' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 33%, Salford City 45%36' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 33%, Salford City 45%37' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 34%, Salford City 45%38' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 34%, Salford City 45%39' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 34%, Salford City 44%40' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 35%, Salford City 44%41' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 35%, Salford City 44%42' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 35%, Salford City 43%43' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 36%, Salford City 43%44' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 36%, Salford City 43%45' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 37%, Salford City 42%45+1' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 37%, Salford City 42%45+2' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 37%, Salford City 42%45+4' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+5' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+6' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+7' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+8' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+9' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+10' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+11' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+12' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%45+13' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%HT · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%47' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 38%, Salford City 41%48' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 39%, Salford City 40%49' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 39%, Salford City 40%50' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 21%, draw 40%, Salford City 40%51' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 20%, draw 41%, Salford City 39%52' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 20%, draw 41%, Salford City 39%53' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 20%, draw 42%, Salford City 38%54' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 20%, draw 42%, Salford City 38%55' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 20%, draw 43%, Salford City 37%56' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 20%, draw 44%, Salford City 37%57' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 20%, draw 44%, Salford City 36%58' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 19%, draw 45%, Salford City 35%59' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 19%, draw 46%, Salford City 35%60' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 19%, draw 47%, Salford City 34%61' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 19%, draw 47%, Salford City 34%62' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 19%, draw 48%, Salford City 33%63' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 18%, draw 49%, Salford City 33%64' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 18%, draw 50%, Salford City 32%65' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 18%, draw 50%, Salford City 32%66' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 18%, draw 51%, Salford City 31%67' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 18%, draw 52%, Salford City 30%68' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 17%, draw 53%, Salford City 30%69' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 17%, draw 54%, Salford City 29%70' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 17%, draw 55%, Salford City 29%71' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 16%, draw 56%, Salford City 28%72' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 16%, draw 57%, Salford City 27%73' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 16%, draw 58%, Salford City 26%74' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 15%, draw 59%, Salford City 26%75' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 15%, draw 60%, Salford City 25%76' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 15%, draw 61%, Salford City 24%77' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 14%, draw 62%, Salford City 23%78' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 14%, draw 63%, Salford City 23%79' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 13%, draw 65%, Salford City 22%80' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 8%, draw 63%, Salford City 29%81' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 8%, draw 65%, Salford City 28%82' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 8%, draw 66%, Salford City 26%83' · 0–0 · Cheltenham 7%, draw 68%, Salford City 25%84' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 8%, Salford City 92%85' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 7%, Salford City 92%86' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 7%, Salford City 93%87' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 7%, Salford City 93%88' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 6%, Salford City 94%89' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 6%, Salford City 94%90' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 5%, Salford City 95%90+1' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 4%, Salford City 96%90+2' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 4%, Salford City 96%90+3' · 0–1 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 3%, Salford City 97%90+4' · 0–2 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100%90+6' · 0–2 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100%90+7' · 0–2 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100%90+8' · 0–2 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100%90+9' · 0–2 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100%90+10' · 0–2 · Cheltenham 0%, draw 0%, Salford City 100%

Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Salford City 53% to win: they did.

  1. 6'Cheltenham:Freddie willcox 1359 −8*
  2. 20'Cheltenham:Jake Evans 1142 0
  3. 45'Salford City:Kallum Cesay 1770 +9 for Ryan Graydon 1792 +8
  4. 49'Salford City:Abraham Odoh 1799 +13
  5. 56'Salford City:Luke Molyneux 1800 +14
  6. 57'Cheltenham:Jonathan Tomkinson 1659 −9
  7. 64'Cheltenham:Jordan Shipley 1637 −9
  8. 71'Salford City:Will Aimson 1777 +40
  9. 76'Salford City:Luke Garbutt 1679 −1 for Abraham Odoh 1799 +13
  10. 78'Cheltenham:Ben Stevenson 1631 −8
  11. 84'Salford City:Jorge Grant 1773 +47
  12. 85'Cheltenham:Andreas Weimann 1623 −14
  13. 85'Cheltenham:George Miller 1557 −1 for Ryan Broom 1591 −6
  14. 87'Salford City:Nathan Asiimwe 1652 +2 for Luke Molyneux 1800 +14
  15. 87'Cheltenham:George Nurse 1498 −1 for Jake Evans 1142 0
  16. 90+2'Cheltenham:K. Otchere 1373 0 for Jordan Shipley 1637 −9
  17. 90+3'Salford City:Jorge Grant 1773 +47 assist Kallum Cesay 1770 +9
  18. 90+5'Salford City:Matt·Butcher 1734 −2 for Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu 1863 +13
  19. 90+5'Salford City:Daniel Udoh 1746 −2 for Macaulay Langstaff 1837 +13
  20. 90+7'Salford City:Luke Garbutt 1679 −1

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations3-5-2
GW. Stanway1660−9
DJ. Wilson1474−18*
DR. Cundy1659−30
DP. Sweeney1654−13
DJ. Tomkinson1659−9
MB. Stevenson1631−8
MJ. Evans11420
MF. Willcox1359−8*
MJ. Shipley1637−9
MR. Broom1591−6
FA. Weimann1623−14
CS. Cotterill1620−12
GW. Norris1859+11
DW. Aimson1777+40
DD. Scarr1920+22
DT. Allen1944+23
ML. Molyneux1800+14
ME. Bonds1756+10*
MJ. Grant1773+47
MB. Sarpong-Wiredu1863+13
MA. Odoh1799+13
FR. Graydon1792+8
FM. Langstaff1837+13
CP. Cklamovski1805+30
Before kick-off: 21% · 26% · 53%(Cheltenham · draw · Salford City)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–2 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Cheltenham €167K, Salford City €443K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of League Two matchday 10: 201 points.
  • League Two: T. Allen was the highest-rated defender (1921).
  • Cheltenham's expected eleven was out of form: average -2.4 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cheltenham

4th in League Two · 15 pts from 9

  • 3 OctLAccrington ST 1627
  • 26 SepWChesterfield 1588
  • 22 SepDExeter City 1479
  • 19 SepDColchester 1604
  • 12 SepWCrawley Town 1561

Salford City

1st in League Two · 16 pts from 9

  • 6 OctDAccrington ST 1692
  • 3 OctWFleetwood Town 1802
  • 26 SepWOldham 1782
  • 22 SepLSheffield Wednesday 1705
  • 19 SepWSwindon Town 1778

Season outlook

From the League Two simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Cheltenham15 /963.61%12%3%9th
Salford City16 /982.154%89%0%1st
Cheltenham
Salford City

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League Two

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Wilson
J. Wilson

Cheltenham · -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1491

W. Aimson
W. Aimson

Salford City · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1737

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Stephen John Cotterill

Coach DNA: direct

Peter Cklamovski

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cheltenham: direct (how Stephen John Cotterill plays) · Salford City: dribble-heavy (how Peter Cklamovski plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.