Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Chelsea vs Tottenham
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea host Tottenham on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Chelsea 48%, draw 27%, Tottenham 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Chelsea €43.4M, Tottenham €32.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Chelsea goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Chelsea 2391 · Tottenham 2314
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chelsea · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2447
Tottenham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2381
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chelsea
4th in Premier League · 13 pts from 7
- 17 OctWEverton Premier League2382
- 10 OctWBournemouth Premier League2347
- 18 SepLBrentford Premier League2327
- 12 SepDHull City Premier League2404
- 9 SepWLeeds England League Cup2285
Tottenham
20th in Premier League · 3 pts from 6
- 10 OctDManchester United Premier League2309
- 19 SepLAston Villa Premier League2340
- 15 SepLLiverpool England League Cup2279
- 12 SepDEverton Premier League2325
- 5 SepDNottingham Forest Premier League2343
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 13 /7 | 62.1 | <1% | 47% | 0% | 3rd |
| Tottenham | 3 /6 | 48.1 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Chelsea: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Xabier Alonso Olano plays) · Tottenham: dribble-heavy (how Roberto De Zerbi plays)