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Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea crestChelseaTeam 2358
5–1
Full time
HT 2–0
Bournemouth crestBournemouthTeam 2244

Match story

Chelsea · draw · Bournemouth

Before kick-off: 52% · 25% · 23%

Live chances: Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Chelsea 52%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 23%2' · 1–0 · Chelsea 76%, draw 15%, Bournemouth 8%3' · 1–0 · Chelsea 76%, draw 15%, Bournemouth 8%4' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%5' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%6' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%7' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%8' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%9' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%10' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%11' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%12' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%13' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%14' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%15' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%16' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%17' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%18' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%19' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%20' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 2%21' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%22' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%23' · 2–0 · Chelsea 93%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%24' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%25' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%26' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%27' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%28' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%29' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%30' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%31' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%32' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%33' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%34' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%35' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%36' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%37' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%38' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%39' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%40' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 5%, Bournemouth 1%41' · 2–0 · Chelsea 94%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%42' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%43' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%44' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%45' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%45+1' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%45+2' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%45+3' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%45+4' · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%HT · 2–0 · Chelsea 95%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%47' · 3–0 · Chelsea 99%, draw 1%, Bournemouth 0%48' · 3–0 · Chelsea 99%, draw 1%, Bournemouth 0%49' · 3–0 · Chelsea 99%, draw 1%, Bournemouth 0%50' · 3–0 · Chelsea 99%, draw 1%, Bournemouth 0%51' · 3–0 · Chelsea 99%, draw 1%, Bournemouth 0%52' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%53' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%54' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%55' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 4%, Bournemouth 1%56' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 1%57' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 1%58' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%59' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%60' · 3–1 · Chelsea 96%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%61' · 3–1 · Chelsea 97%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%62' · 3–1 · Chelsea 97%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%63' · 3–1 · Chelsea 97%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%64' · 3–1 · Chelsea 97%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%65' · 3–1 · Chelsea 97%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%66' · 3–1 · Chelsea 97%, draw 3%, Bournemouth 0%67' · 4–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%68' · 4–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%69' · 4–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%70' · 4–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%71' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%72' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%73' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%74' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%75' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%76' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%78' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%79' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%80' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%82' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%83' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%84' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%85' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%87' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%88' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%89' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%90' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%90+1' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%90+2' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%90+3' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%90+4' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%90+5' · 5–1 · Chelsea 100%, draw 0%, Bournemouth 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Chelsea 52% to win: they did.

  1. 2'Chelsea:Jordan Henderson 1937 +92* assist Cole Palmer 2444 +27*
  2. 3'Chelsea:Morgan Rogers 2529 +24 assist Jordan Henderson 1937 +92*
  3. 10'Bournemouth:Marcus Tavernier 2330 −18*
  4. 42'Bournemouth:Adrien Truffert 2370 −14
  5. 45'Bournemouth:Ben Gannon-Doak 2060 0 for David Brooks 2178 −10*
  6. 46'Chelsea:João Pedro 2431 +21* assist Pedro Neto 2489 +15
  7. 51'Bournemouth:Francisco Evanilson 2309 −42*
  8. 62'Bournemouth:Tyler Adams 2275 −17*
  9. 67'Chelsea:João Pedro 2431 +21* assist Pep Chavarria 2259 +52*
  10. 69'Bournemouth:Ryan Christie 2202 −6
  11. 70'Chelsea:Jordan Henderson 1937 +92*
  12. 72'Bournemouth:Álvaro Rodríguez 2000 −8* for Marcus Tavernier 2330 −18*
  13. 72'Chelsea:Romeo Lavia 2164 +5 for Moises Caicedo 2417 +3*
  14. 72'Bournemouth:Juanlu Sánchez 2037 −8* for Adam Smith 1963 −15*
  15. 72'Chelsea:Marco Palestra 2038 −1* for João Pedro 2431 +21*
  16. 73'Bournemouth:Lewis Cook 2273 −11* for Ryan Christie 2202 −6
  17. 83'Chelsea:Danny Welbeck 2223 −14* for Pedro Neto 2489 +15
  18. 84'Bournemouth:Julio Soler 1948 −8* for Adrien Truffert 2370 −14
  19. 84'Chelsea:Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves 2382 −7* for Morgan Rogers 2529 +24
  20. 88'Chelsea:Malo Gusto 2397 −7* for Cole Palmer 2444 +27*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-2-3-1
GĐ. Petrović2335−13
DA. Smith1963−15*
DJ. Hill2318−19*
DAntónio Silva2297−18*
DA. Truffert2370−14
MT. Adams2275−17*
MR. Christie2202−6
MRayan2259−15*
MM. Tavernier2330−18*
MD. Brooks2178−10*
FEvanilson2309−42*
CM. Rose2187−11*
Before kick-off: 52% · 25% · 23%(Chelsea · draw · Bournemouth)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 5–1 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Chelsea €40.2M, Bournemouth €21.8M.
  • Bournemouth were without 2 expected starters: A. Scott (2431) and J. Kluivert (2298).
  • Style contrast in possession (Premier League): Chelsea ranked #2 of 20, Bournemouth #19.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Chelsea

10th in Premier League · 7 pts from 5

  • 18 SepLBrentford 2327
  • 12 SepDHull City 2404
  • 9 SepWLeeds 2285
  • 6 SepLArsenal 2388
  • 30 AugWBrighton 2386

Bournemouth

17th in Premier League · 3 pts from 5

  • 20 SepLLiverpool 2299
  • 17 SepWReal Sociedad 2289
  • 12 SepDBrentford 2291
  • 8 SepWLincoln 2173
  • 5 SepDNewcastle 2289

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Chelsea7 /554.4<1%16%2%7th
Bournemouth3 /544.10%1%18%15th
Chelsea
Bournemouth

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo

Chelsea · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2413

M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier

Bournemouth · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2349

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Xabier Alonso Olano

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Marco Rose

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Chelsea: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Xabier Alonso Olano plays) · Bournemouth: direct (how Marco Rose plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.