Championship · Regular Season - 17
Charlton vs Lincoln
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · The Valley, London
Charlton host Lincoln on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Charlton 41%, draw 29%, Lincoln 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Charlton €2.1M, Lincoln €768K.
- Home advantage makes Charlton the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Charlton goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- 1–27%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Charlton 1886 · Lincoln 1890
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Charlton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1871
Lincoln · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1901
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Charlton
19th in Championship · 17 pts from 15
- 7 NovWSheffield Utd England Championship1821
- 3 NovLBolton England Championship1865
- 31 OctLMiddlesbrough England Championship1857
- 24 OctLNorwich England Championship1889
- 17 OctLWatford England Championship1906
Lincoln
21st in Championship · 15 pts from 15
- 7 NovLQPR England Championship1852
- 3 NovLWatford England Championship1901
- 31 OctLBirmingham England Championship1913
- 24 OctWBurnley England Championship1876
- 17 OctDMillwall England Championship1913
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 17 /15 | 51.9 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 20th |
| Lincoln | 15 /15 | 51.0 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Charlton: balanced profile (how N. Jones plays) · Lincoln: direct (how T. Shaw plays)