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Championship · Regular Season - 9

Charlton 1–1 Bristol City

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · The Valley, London

Charlton crestCharltonTeam 1906
1–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Bristol City crestBristol CityTeam 1881

Match story

Charlton · draw · Bristol City

Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 28%

Live chances: Charlton 4%, draw 93%, Bristol City 3% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Charlton 44%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%2' · 0–0 · Charlton 43%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%3' · 0–0 · Charlton 43%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%4' · 0–0 · Charlton 43%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%5' · 0–0 · Charlton 43%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%6' · 0–0 · Charlton 43%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%7' · 0–0 · Charlton 43%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%8' · 0–0 · Charlton 43%, draw 29%, Bristol City 28%9' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%10' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%11' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%12' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%13' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%14' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%15' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%16' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 10%17' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%18' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%19' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%20' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%21' · 1–0 · Charlton 71%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%22' · 1–0 · Charlton 72%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%23' · 1–0 · Charlton 72%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%24' · 1–0 · Charlton 72%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%25' · 1–0 · Charlton 72%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%26' · 1–0 · Charlton 72%, draw 19%, Bristol City 9%27' · 1–0 · Charlton 72%, draw 20%, Bristol City 9%28' · 1–1 · Charlton 40%, draw 33%, Bristol City 27%29' · 1–1 · Charlton 39%, draw 34%, Bristol City 27%30' · 1–1 · Charlton 39%, draw 34%, Bristol City 27%32' · 1–1 · Charlton 39%, draw 34%, Bristol City 27%34' · 1–1 · Charlton 38%, draw 35%, Bristol City 27%35' · 1–1 · Charlton 38%, draw 35%, Bristol City 27%36' · 1–1 · Charlton 38%, draw 35%, Bristol City 26%37' · 1–1 · Charlton 38%, draw 36%, Bristol City 26%38' · 1–1 · Charlton 38%, draw 36%, Bristol City 26%39' · 1–1 · Charlton 37%, draw 36%, Bristol City 26%40' · 1–1 · Charlton 37%, draw 37%, Bristol City 26%41' · 1–1 · Charlton 37%, draw 37%, Bristol City 26%42' · 1–1 · Charlton 37%, draw 37%, Bristol City 26%43' · 1–1 · Charlton 36%, draw 38%, Bristol City 26%44' · 1–1 · Charlton 36%, draw 38%, Bristol City 26%45' · 1–1 · Charlton 36%, draw 38%, Bristol City 26%45+1' · 1–1 · Charlton 36%, draw 39%, Bristol City 25%45+2' · 1–1 · Charlton 35%, draw 39%, Bristol City 25%45+3' · 1–1 · Charlton 35%, draw 40%, Bristol City 25%45+4' · 1–1 · Charlton 35%, draw 40%, Bristol City 25%HT · 1–1 · Charlton 35%, draw 40%, Bristol City 25%46' · 1–1 · Charlton 35%, draw 40%, Bristol City 25%47' · 1–1 · Charlton 35%, draw 40%, Bristol City 25%48' · 1–1 · Charlton 34%, draw 41%, Bristol City 25%49' · 1–1 · Charlton 34%, draw 41%, Bristol City 25%50' · 1–1 · Charlton 34%, draw 42%, Bristol City 25%51' · 1–1 · Charlton 33%, draw 42%, Bristol City 24%52' · 1–1 · Charlton 33%, draw 43%, Bristol City 24%53' · 1–1 · Charlton 33%, draw 43%, Bristol City 24%54' · 1–1 · Charlton 32%, draw 44%, Bristol City 24%55' · 1–1 · Charlton 32%, draw 45%, Bristol City 23%56' · 1–1 · Charlton 31%, draw 45%, Bristol City 23%57' · 1–1 · Charlton 31%, draw 46%, Bristol City 23%58' · 1–1 · Charlton 31%, draw 47%, Bristol City 23%59' · 1–1 · Charlton 30%, draw 47%, Bristol City 22%60' · 1–1 · Charlton 30%, draw 48%, Bristol City 22%61' · 1–1 · Charlton 29%, draw 49%, Bristol City 22%62' · 1–1 · Charlton 29%, draw 50%, Bristol City 22%63' · 1–1 · Charlton 28%, draw 50%, Bristol City 21%64' · 1–1 · Charlton 28%, draw 51%, Bristol City 21%65' · 1–1 · Charlton 27%, draw 52%, Bristol City 21%66' · 1–1 · Charlton 27%, draw 53%, Bristol City 20%67' · 1–1 · Charlton 26%, draw 53%, Bristol City 20%68' · 1–1 · Charlton 26%, draw 54%, Bristol City 20%69' · 1–1 · Charlton 25%, draw 55%, Bristol City 19%70' · 1–1 · Charlton 25%, draw 56%, Bristol City 19%71' · 1–1 · Charlton 24%, draw 57%, Bristol City 19%72' · 1–1 · Charlton 24%, draw 58%, Bristol City 18%73' · 1–1 · Charlton 23%, draw 59%, Bristol City 18%74' · 1–1 · Charlton 22%, draw 60%, Bristol City 17%75' · 1–1 · Charlton 22%, draw 61%, Bristol City 17%76' · 1–1 · Charlton 21%, draw 62%, Bristol City 17%77' · 1–1 · Charlton 21%, draw 63%, Bristol City 16%78' · 1–1 · Charlton 20%, draw 65%, Bristol City 16%79' · 1–1 · Charlton 19%, draw 66%, Bristol City 15%80' · 1–1 · Charlton 18%, draw 67%, Bristol City 14%81' · 1–1 · Charlton 18%, draw 69%, Bristol City 14%82' · 1–1 · Charlton 17%, draw 70%, Bristol City 13%83' · 1–1 · Charlton 16%, draw 71%, Bristol City 13%84' · 1–1 · Charlton 15%, draw 73%, Bristol City 12%85' · 1–1 · Charlton 14%, draw 74%, Bristol City 11%86' · 1–1 · Charlton 13%, draw 76%, Bristol City 11%87' · 1–1 · Charlton 12%, draw 78%, Bristol City 10%88' · 1–1 · Charlton 11%, draw 80%, Bristol City 9%89' · 1–1 · Charlton 10%, draw 82%, Bristol City 8%90' · 1–1 · Charlton 9%, draw 84%, Bristol City 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Charlton 8%, draw 86%, Bristol City 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Charlton 7%, draw 88%, Bristol City 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Charlton 5%, draw 91%, Bristol City 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Charlton 4%, draw 93%, Bristol City 3%

Last reading, 90+4': 4% · 93% · 3%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Charlton 44% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 8'Charlton:Karlan Grant 1889 −11* assist Tyreece Campbell 1842 0
  2. 27'Bristol City:Scott Twine 1946 −2* (pen.)
  3. 53'Charlton:Kayne Ramsay 1927 −8* for Micah Mbick 1670 −8*
  4. 53'Charlton:Ivan Mesik 1828 0 for Josh Edwards 1922 −8*
  5. 65'Bristol City:Cameron Pring 1875 −8* for Yu Hirakawa 1903 −6*
  6. 65'Bristol City:Sam Greenwood 1794 −6* for Brian de Keersmaecker 1826 −5*
  7. 69'Charlton:Billy Koumetio 1681 −8*
  8. 77'Charlton:Charlie Kelman 1867 −8* for Miles Leaburn 1868 −8*
  9. 77'Charlton:Harvey Knibbs 1793 −8* for Karlan Grant 1889 −11*
  10. 78'Bristol City:Gibson Osahumen Yah 1678 −7* for Adam Randell 1916 −2*
  11. 78'Bristol City:Elijah Adebayo 1757 −8* for Scott Twine 1946 −2*
  12. 89'Charlton:Millenic Alli 1862 −8* for Tyreece Campbell 1842 0
  13. 90+2'Charlton:Ivan Mesik 1828 0
  14. 90+2'Bristol City:Elijah Adebayo 1757 −8*
  15. 90+3'Bristol City:Sam Bellis 1859 −8* for Dominic Ballard 1865 −4*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GA. Okonkwo1971−9*
DD. McNamara1953−10*
DL. Jones1914−11*
DBilly Dawson Koumetio1681−8*
DJ. Edwards1922−8*
MC. Coventry1980−2
MO. Skipp1999−10*
MK. Ahearne-Grant1889−11*
MMicah Mbick1670−8*
MT. Campbell18420
FM. Leaburn1868−8*
CN. Jones1902−9*
GS. Tickle1816−4*
DG. Tanner1913−5*
DL. McNally1856−4*
DR. Atkinson1927−6*
DRio Cardines1744+5
MJ. Knight1923+3
MA. Randell1916−2*
MY. Hirakawa1903−6*
MB. De Keersmaecker1826−5*
MS. Twine1946−2*
FD. Ballard1865−4*
CM. Skubala2050−4*
Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 28%(Charlton · draw · Bristol City)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Charlton €2.6M, Bristol City €2.4M.
  • Bristol City were without 1 expected starter: R. Dickie (1922).
  • Style contrast in discipline (Championship): Charlton ranked #21 of 24, Bristol City #3.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Charlton

9th in Championship · 12 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLCardiff 1914
  • 12 SepDPortsmouth 1916
  • 9 SepDQPR 1920
  • 5 SepLStoke City 1887
  • 29 AugWPreston 1894

Bristol City

8th in Championship · 13 pts from 8

  • 18 SepWWatford 1859
  • 15 SepLLincoln 1858
  • 12 SepLSouthampton 1881
  • 5 SepWBurnley 1821
  • 29 AugWPortsmouth 1815

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Charlton12 /857.50%2%11%17th
Bristol City13 /857.7<1%2%11%19th
Charlton
Bristol City

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Jones
L. Jones

Charlton · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1925

Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines

Bristol City · +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 1739

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nathan Jason Jones

Coach DNA: direct

Michael Skubala

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Charlton: balanced profile (how Nathan Jason Jones plays) · Bristol City: balanced profile (how Michael Skubala plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.