Championship · Regular Season - 14
Charlton vs Bolton
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · The Valley, London
Charlton host Bolton on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Charlton 39%, draw 29%, Bolton 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Charlton €2.5M, Bolton €1.3M.
- Home advantage makes Charlton the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in possession (Championship): Charlton rank #21 of 24, Bolton #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Charlton goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Charlton 1890 · Bolton 1928
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Charlton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1904
Bolton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1987
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Charlton
17th in Championship · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWatford England Championship1901
- 13 OctDBurnley England Championship1899
- 10 OctDBristol City England Championship1887
- 19 SepLCardiff England Championship1914
- 12 SepDPortsmouth England Championship1916
Bolton
15th in Championship · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctDSouthampton England Championship1936
- 13 OctWWolves England Championship1905
- 10 OctLStoke City England Championship1912
- 20 SepWNorwich England Championship1870
- 12 SepWCardiff England Championship1850
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 14 /11 | 54.4 | 0% | <1% | 18% | 21st |
| Bolton | 14 /11 | 58.8 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Charlton: balanced profile (how Nathan Jason Jones plays) · Bolton: possession-based · creative (how Steven Schumacher plays)