Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Charlotte vs CF Montreal
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Charlotte host CF Montreal on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Charlotte 63%, draw 22%, CF Montreal 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Charlotte €2.1M, CF Montreal €883K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of MLS matchday 32: 223 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Charlotte goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Charlotte 1983 · CF Montreal 1760
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Charlotte · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1939
CF Montreal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.6 (Average) · Elo 1824
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Charlotte
5th in MLS · 47 pts from 30
- 17 OctDPhiladelphia Union MLS1955
- 14 OctLColumbus Crew MLS1995
- 10 OctWFC Dallas MLS1996
- 26 SepLChicago Fire MLS1960
- 19 SepWDC United MLS1985
CF Montreal
15th in MLS · 25 pts from 30
- 18 OctDSeattle Sounders MLS1710
- 14 OctLAtlanta United FC MLS1787
- 10 OctLToronto FC MLS1822
- 26 SepWFC Cincinnati MLS1802
- 19 SepLColumbus Crew MLS1765
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 47 /30 | 53.0 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 10th |
| CF Montreal | 25 /30 | 28.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 29th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Charlotte: low-block (how Dean Smith plays) · CF Montreal: balanced profile (how Philippe Eullaffroy plays)