Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Charleroi host RAAL La Louvière on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Charleroi 56%, draw 25%, RAAL La Louvière 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Charleroi €1.3M, RAAL La Louvière €624K.
- Charleroi's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Charleroi goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Charleroi 1809 · RAAL La Louvière 1619
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Charleroi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1937
RAAL La Louvière · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1756
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Charleroi
3rd in Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 11 OctWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1841
- 19 SepWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1820
- 13 SepWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1795
- 5 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1809
- 29 AugWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1814
RAAL La Louvière
16th in Pro League · 4 pts from 8
- 10 OctLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1598
- 19 SepLOH Leuven Belgium Pro League1600
- 13 SepWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1583
- 5 SepLSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1610
- 29 AugDKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1618
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 21 /8 | 54.9 | <1% | 23% | 0% | 5th |
| RAAL La Louvière | 4 /8 | 28.4 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Charleroi: balanced profile (how Mario Kohnen plays) · RAAL La Louvière: direct (how Edward Still plays)