Liga MX · Apertura - 11
CF Pachuca 3–3 Necaxa
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 23:10 UTC · Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
CF PachucaTeam 1920NecaxaTeam 1849- Eduardo Dos Santos 45+8'
- Salomón Rondón 84', 87'
- Matias Espindola 15'
- Julián Carranza 41'
- Juan Valencia 79' (pen)
We gave CF Pachuca 51% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 15'Matias Espindola –Necaxa:Matias Espindola –
- 41'Julián Carranza – assist Matias Espindola –Necaxa:Julián Carranza – assist Matias Espindola –
- Javier Vallejo – for Ian Josué Zavala Osorio45'CF Pachuca:Javier Vallejo – for Ian Josué Zavala Osorio
- Adrián Alcaraz – for Sergio Rodríguez –45'CF Pachuca:Adrián Alcaraz – for Sergio Rodríguez –
- 45+7'Miguel Rodriguez –Necaxa:Miguel Rodriguez –
- Eduardo Dos Santos – assist Oussama Idrissi –45+8'CF Pachuca:Eduardo Dos Santos – assist Oussama Idrissi –
- 52'Juan Valencia – for Julián Carranza –Necaxa:Juan Valencia – for Julián Carranza –
- 60'Matias Espindola –Necaxa:Matias Espindola –
- 62'Lorenzo Faravelli – for Matias Espindola –Necaxa:Lorenzo Faravelli – for Matias Espindola –
- 62'Kevin Ante – for Owen González –Necaxa:Kevin Ante – for Owen González –
- Gael Álvarez – for Oussama Idrissi –63'CF Pachuca:Gael Álvarez – for Oussama Idrissi –
- Alan Bautista – for Sebastian Santos –63'CF Pachuca:Alan Bautista – for Sebastian Santos –
- 67'Luis Jiménez –Necaxa:Luis Jiménez –
- 74'Raúl Martínez – for Miguel Rodriguez –Necaxa:Raúl Martínez – for Miguel Rodriguez –
- 74'Javier Ruiz – for Emilio Martínez –Necaxa:Javier Ruiz – for Emilio Martínez –
- Francisco Venegas –77'CF Pachuca:Francisco Venegas –
- Javier Vallejo –78'CF Pachuca:Javier Vallejo –
- 79'Juan Valencia – (pen.)Necaxa:Juan Valencia – (pen.)
- Mauricio Isais – for Francisco Venegas –80'CF Pachuca:Mauricio Isais – for Francisco Venegas –
- Salomón Rondón – assist Rodolfo Pizarro –84'CF Pachuca:Salomón Rondón – assist Rodolfo Pizarro –
- 85'Juan Valencia –Necaxa:Juan Valencia –
- Salomón Rondón – assist Rodolfo Pizarro –87'CF Pachuca:Salomón Rondón – assist Rodolfo Pizarro –
- Eduardo Dos Santos –90+3'CF Pachuca:Eduardo Dos Santos –
- Alan Bautista –90+9'CF Pachuca:Alan Bautista –
Before kick-off (provisional): 51% · 27% · 22%(CF Pachuca · draw · Necaxa)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–3 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: CF Pachuca €2.4M, Necaxa €1.8M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
CF Pachuca
12th in Liga MX · 12 pts from 10
- 27 SepLSantos Laguna Liga MX1928
- 21 SepDClub Tijuana Liga MX1957
- 12 SepWAtlante FC Liga MX1959
- 5 SepWFC Juarez Liga MX1953
- 29 AugDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1940
Necaxa
17th in Liga MX · 8 pts from 10
- 28 SepLClub America Liga MX1808
- 19 SepLAtletico San Luis Liga MX1834
- 12 SepLPuebla Liga MX1830
- 6 SepDTigres UANL Liga MX1828
- 29 AugLCruz Azul Liga MX1833
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Pachuca | 12 /10 | 20.7 | <1% | 2% | 10% | 12th |
| Necaxa | 8 /10 | 16.7 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
CF Pachuca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1970
Necaxa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Good) · Elo 1691
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
CF Pachuca: dribble-heavy (how Benjamín Mora Mendívil plays) · Necaxa: direct (how Martín Varini Di Zioli plays)