Liga MX · Apertura - 13
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
CF Pachuca host Cruz Azul on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: CF Pachuca 29%, draw 28%, Cruz Azul 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: CF Pachuca €2.5M, Cruz Azul €5.8M.
- Liga MX: W. Ditta is the highest-rated defender (2226).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Liga MX): CF Pachuca rank #1 of 18, Cruz Azul #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. CF Pachuca goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: CF Pachuca 1893 · Cruz Azul 2103
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
CF Pachuca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1951
Cruz Azul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2254
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
CF Pachuca
14th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 12
- 19 OctLMonterrey Liga MX1905
- 11 OctDNecaxa Liga MX1921
- 27 SepLSantos Laguna Liga MX1928
- 21 SepDClub Tijuana Liga MX1957
- 12 SepWAtlante FC Liga MX1959
Cruz Azul
5th in Liga MX · 20 pts from 12
- 18 OctWFC Juarez Liga MX2014
- 12 OctDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX2143
- 26 SepDToluca Liga MX2132
- 20 SepLMonterrey Liga MX2207
- 13 SepWClub America Liga MX2140
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Pachuca | 13 /12 | 18.6 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 15th |
| Cruz Azul | 20 /12 | 28.1 | 4% | 48% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
CF Pachuca: dribble-heavy (how Benjamín Mora Mendívil plays) · Cruz Azul: balanced profile (how Joel Huiqui plays)