Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
CF Montreal 0–3 Atlanta United FC
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Saputo Stadium, Montreal
CF MontrealTeam 1767
Atlanta United FCTeam 1869Match story
CF Montreal · draw · Atlanta United FCBefore kick-off: 36% · 29% · 34%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Miguel Almirón 22'
- Giuliano Galoppo 41'
- Breel Embolo 60'
We gave CF Montreal 36% to win: Atlanta United FC won.
- 22'Miguel Almirón 2007 +58 assist Elías Báez 2007 +70
Atlanta United FC:Miguel Almirón 2007 +58 assist Elías Báez 2007 +70 - 41'Giuliano Galoppo 2030 +52
Atlanta United FC:Giuliano Galoppo 2030 +52 - Efrain Morales 1759 −3 for Dawid Bugaj 1770 −445'
CF Montreal:Efrain Morales 1759 −3 for Dawid Bugaj 1770 −4 - 58'Lucas Hoyos 1861 +27
Atlanta United FC:Lucas Hoyos 1861 +27 - 60'Breel Embolo 2273 +20
Atlanta United FC:Breel Embolo 2273 +20 - 65'Steven Alzate 1779 +18* for Ajani Fortune 1944 +55
Atlanta United FC:Steven Alzate 1779 +18* for Ajani Fortune 1944 +55 - Victor Loturi 1847 −5 for Daniel Pereira 1854 −23*67'
CF Montreal:Victor Loturi 1847 −5 for Daniel Pereira 1854 −23* - Fabian Herbers 1695 −5 for Matthew Longstaff 1806 −1067'
CF Montreal:Fabian Herbers 1695 −5 for Matthew Longstaff 1806 −10 - Gennadiy Synchuk 1553 −8* for Wikelman·Carmona 1852 −1567'
CF Montreal:Gennadiy Synchuk 1553 −8* for Wikelman·Carmona 1852 −15 - 74'Sergi Santos 1723 +4 for Breel Embolo 2273 +20
Atlanta United FC:Sergi Santos 1723 +4 for Breel Embolo 2273 +20 - 75'Cooper Sanchez 1836 +12 for Giuliano Galoppo 2030 +52
Atlanta United FC:Cooper Sanchez 1836 +12 for Giuliano Galoppo 2030 +52 - Olger Escobar 1609 0 for Alexis Sanchez 1732 −1581'
CF Montreal:Olger Escobar 1609 0 for Alexis Sanchez 1732 −15 - 83'Fafà Picault 1607 −4 for Miguel Almirón 2007 +58
Atlanta United FC:Fafà Picault 1607 −4 for Miguel Almirón 2007 +58 - 83'Tristan Muyumba 1919 +2 for Mauricio Amaro 1645 +43
Atlanta United FC:Tristan Muyumba 1919 +2 for Mauricio Amaro 1645 +43 - Olger Escobar 1609 083'
CF Montreal:Olger Escobar 1609 0 - 90+1'Fafà Picault 1607 −4
Atlanta United FC:Fafà Picault 1607 −4
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 34%(CF Montreal · draw · Atlanta United FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: CF Montreal €1.1M, Atlanta United FC €2.7M.
- CF Montreal were without 1 expected starter: B. Ceballos (1928).
- Atlanta United FC were without 1 expected starter: T. Jacob (1957).
- MLS: B. Embolo was the highest-rated forward (2253).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
CF Montreal
15th in MLS · 24 pts from 28
- 10 OctLToronto FC MLS1822
- 26 SepWFC Cincinnati MLS1802
- 19 SepLColumbus Crew MLS1765
- 13 SepLColorado Rapids MLS1794
- 9 SepLCharlotte MLS1843
Atlanta United FC
14th in MLS · 27 pts from 28
- 10 OctLFC Cincinnati MLS1944
- 26 SepDNew York City FC MLS1870
- 20 SepWPortland Timbers MLS1908
- 12 SepDDC United MLS1926
- 9 SepLOrlando City SC MLS1943
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal | 24 /28 | 30.0 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 29th |
| Atlanta United FC | 27 /28 | 35.4 | 0% | 0% | 39% | 28th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

CF Montreal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1835

Atlanta United FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1950
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
CF Montreal: balanced profile (how Philippe Eullaffroy plays) · Atlanta United FC: balanced profile (how Gerardo Daniel Martino plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.