Serie B · Regular Season - 9
Cesena vs Empoli
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Cesena host Empoli on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cesena 44%, draw 28%, Empoli 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cesena €819K, Empoli €588K.
- Style contrast in possession (Serie B): Cesena rank #4 of 21, Empoli #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cesena goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Cesena 1629 · Empoli 1619
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cesena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1636
Empoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1721
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cesena
12th in Serie B · 8 pts from 7
- 18 OctDAvellino Italy Serie B1649
- 10 OctLBenevento Italy Serie B1662
- 18 SepDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1662
- 12 SepDCremonese Italy Serie B1608
- 6 SepDMantova Italy Serie B1560
Empoli
14th in Serie B · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1629
- 10 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1629
- 20 SepLModena Italy Serie B1651
- 11 SepLArezzo Italy Serie B1668
- 5 SepWCarrarese Italy Serie B1652
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 8 /7 | 45.3 | 0% | 1% | 23% | 15th |
| Empoli | 7 /7 | 44.0 | 0% | 1% | 29% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cesena: balanced profile (how Alessandro Diamanti plays) · Empoli: direct (how Matteo Andreoletti plays)