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Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Cesena 1–1 Avellino

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Cesena crestCesenaTeam 1604
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Avellino crestAvellinoTeam 1767

Match story

Cesena · draw · Avellino

Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%

Live chances: Cesena 0%, draw 100%, Avellino 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 41%2' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 41%3' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 41%4' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 41%5' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 41%6' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 41%7' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 40%8' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 29%, Avellino 40%9' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 30%, Avellino 40%10' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 30%, Avellino 40%11' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 30%, Avellino 40%12' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 30%, Avellino 40%13' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 30%, Avellino 40%14' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 30%, Avellino 40%15' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 30%, Avellino 40%16' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 31%, Avellino 40%17' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 31%, Avellino 39%18' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 31%, Avellino 39%19' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 31%, Avellino 39%20' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 31%, Avellino 39%21' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 31%, Avellino 39%22' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 31%, Avellino 39%23' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 32%, Avellino 39%24' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 32%, Avellino 39%25' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 32%, Avellino 38%26' · 0–0 · Cesena 30%, draw 32%, Avellino 38%27' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 32%, Avellino 38%28' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 32%, Avellino 38%29' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 33%, Avellino 38%30' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 33%, Avellino 38%31' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 33%, Avellino 38%32' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 33%, Avellino 38%33' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 34%, Avellino 37%34' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 34%, Avellino 37%35' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 34%, Avellino 37%36' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 34%, Avellino 37%37' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 35%, Avellino 37%38' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 35%, Avellino 37%39' · 0–0 · Cesena 29%, draw 35%, Avellino 36%40' · 0–0 · Cesena 28%, draw 35%, Avellino 36%41' · 0–0 · Cesena 28%, draw 36%, Avellino 36%42' · 0–0 · Cesena 28%, draw 36%, Avellino 36%43' · 0–0 · Cesena 28%, draw 36%, Avellino 36%44' · 0–0 · Cesena 28%, draw 36%, Avellino 35%45' · 0–0 · Cesena 28%, draw 37%, Avellino 35%HT · 0–0 · Cesena 28%, draw 38%, Avellino 34%HT · 0–0 · Cesena 15%, draw 34%, Avellino 51%47' · 0–0 · Cesena 15%, draw 34%, Avellino 50%48' · 0–0 · Cesena 15%, draw 35%, Avellino 50%49' · 0–0 · Cesena 15%, draw 35%, Avellino 49%50' · 0–0 · Cesena 15%, draw 36%, Avellino 49%51' · 0–0 · Cesena 15%, draw 36%, Avellino 48%52' · 1–0 · Cesena 49%, draw 31%, Avellino 20%53' · 1–0 · Cesena 50%, draw 31%, Avellino 19%54' · 1–0 · Cesena 50%, draw 31%, Avellino 19%55' · 1–0 · Cesena 51%, draw 31%, Avellino 18%56' · 1–0 · Cesena 52%, draw 31%, Avellino 17%57' · 1–0 · Cesena 52%, draw 31%, Avellino 17%58' · 1–0 · Cesena 53%, draw 31%, Avellino 16%59' · 1–0 · Cesena 54%, draw 31%, Avellino 16%60' · 1–0 · Cesena 54%, draw 31%, Avellino 15%61' · 1–0 · Cesena 55%, draw 31%, Avellino 15%62' · 1–0 · Cesena 56%, draw 30%, Avellino 14%63' · 1–0 · Cesena 56%, draw 30%, Avellino 14%64' · 1–0 · Cesena 57%, draw 30%, Avellino 13%65' · 1–0 · Cesena 58%, draw 30%, Avellino 12%66' · 1–0 · Cesena 58%, draw 30%, Avellino 12%67' · 1–0 · Cesena 59%, draw 29%, Avellino 11%68' · 1–1 · Cesena 14%, draw 49%, Avellino 38%69' · 1–1 · Cesena 13%, draw 49%, Avellino 37%70' · 1–1 · Cesena 13%, draw 50%, Avellino 36%71' · 1–1 · Cesena 13%, draw 51%, Avellino 36%72' · 1–1 · Cesena 13%, draw 52%, Avellino 35%73' · 1–1 · Cesena 13%, draw 53%, Avellino 34%74' · 1–1 · Cesena 12%, draw 54%, Avellino 33%75' · 1–1 · Cesena 12%, draw 56%, Avellino 32%76' · 1–1 · Cesena 12%, draw 57%, Avellino 31%77' · 1–1 · Cesena 12%, draw 58%, Avellino 30%78' · 1–1 · Cesena 11%, draw 59%, Avellino 29%79' · 1–1 · Cesena 11%, draw 61%, Avellino 28%80' · 1–1 · Cesena 11%, draw 62%, Avellino 27%81' · 1–1 · Cesena 10%, draw 64%, Avellino 26%82' · 1–1 · Cesena 10%, draw 65%, Avellino 25%83' · 1–1 · Cesena 9%, draw 67%, Avellino 24%84' · 1–1 · Cesena 9%, draw 68%, Avellino 23%85' · 1–1 · Cesena 9%, draw 70%, Avellino 21%86' · 1–1 · Cesena 8%, draw 72%, Avellino 20%88' · 1–1 · Cesena 7%, draw 76%, Avellino 17%89' · 1–1 · Cesena 6%, draw 78%, Avellino 15%90' · 1–1 · Cesena 6%, draw 80%, Avellino 14%90+1' · 1–1 · Cesena 5%, draw 83%, Avellino 12%90+2' · 1–1 · Cesena 4%, draw 86%, Avellino 10%90+3' · 1–1 · Cesena 3%, draw 89%, Avellino 8%90+4' · 1–1 · Cesena 3%, draw 92%, Avellino 6%90+5' · 1–1 · Cesena 2%, draw 95%, Avellino 4%90+6' · 1–1 · Cesena 1%, draw 98%, Avellino 1%90+7' · 1–1 · Cesena 0%, draw 100%, Avellino 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Avellino 41% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 13'Avellino:Brando Moruzzi 1760 0
  2. 45'Cesena:Alessandro Diamanti
  3. 45'Cesena:Matteo Guidi 1628 +1 for Riccardo Pagano 1715 +1
  4. 51'Cesena:Antonio Fiori 1681 +3 assist Cristian Shpendi 1713 +3
  5. 57'Avellino:Giacomo Faticanti 1562 0 for Luca Palmiero 1781 −3
  6. 57'Avellino:L. Di Maggio 1580 −8* for Martin Palumbo 1818 0
  7. 64'Cesena:Alessandro Debenedetti 1508 +1 for Antonio Fiori 1681 +3
  8. 65'Cesena:Massimiliano Mangraviti 1699 −1 for Luca D'Andrea 1528 +2
  9. 67'Avellino:Armando Izzo 1813 −7
  10. 73'Avellino:Andrea Favilli 1568 −1 for Walid Cheddira 1902 −2
  11. 77'Cesena:Matteo Piacentini 1412 −8* for Mihajlo Ilic 1827 +1
  12. 83'Cesena:Emil Bohinen 1721 0
  13. 84'Avellino:Dimitrios Sounas 1734 −4 for Michele Besaggio 1863 −1
  14. 84'Avellino:Tommaso Biasci 1641 −3 for Raffaele Russo 1680 −1
  15. 84'Cesena:Matteo Francesconi 1642 −7* for Emil Bohinen 1721 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-5-2
GA. Siano1282+4
DA. Ciofi1654+4
DM. Ilić1827+1
DJ. Gelli1634−4*
DG. Frabotta1621+1
ME. Bohinen17210
MD. Bisoli1636−3
ML. D'Andrea1528+2
MR. Pagano1715+1
MA. Fiori1681+3
FC. Shpendi1713+3
CAlessandro Diamanti1453+5
GT. Martinelli1849−1
DP. Enrici17040
DA. Izzo1813−7
DF. Missori17680
MM. Venturi1638−1
ML. Palmiero1781−3
MM. Besaggio1863−1
MM. Palumbo18180
MB. Moruzzi17600
FR. Russo1680−1
FW. Cheddira1902−2
CA. Nesta1813−1
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%(Cesena · draw · Avellino)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Cesena €809K, Avellino €1.0M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cesena

11th in Serie B · 7 pts from 6

  • 10 OctLBenevento 1662
  • 18 SepDJuve Stabia 1662
  • 12 SepDCremonese 1608
  • 6 SepDMantova 1560
  • 29 AugWVirtus Entella 1602

Avellino

8th in Serie B · 10 pts from 6

  • 9 OctWSampdoria 1749
  • 19 SepLAscoli 1740
  • 13 SepDPalermo 1701
  • 6 SepWModena 1694
  • 29 AugWVicenza Virtus 1687

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Cesena7 /644.70%1%23%16th
Avellino10 /656.21%24%1%6th
Cesena
Avellino

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Bisoli
D. Bisoli

Cesena · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1639

P. Enrici
P. Enrici

Avellino · +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1704

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alessandro Diamanti

Coach DNA: –

Alessandro Nesta

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cesena: balanced profile (how Alessandro Diamanti plays) · Avellino: balanced profile (how Alessandro Nesta plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.