Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 15
Cerro Porteno 2–2 Sportivo Ameliano
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción
Cerro PortenoTeam 1703
Sportivo AmelianoTeam 1391Match story
Cerro Porteno · draw · Sportivo AmelianoBefore kick-off: 68% · 21% · 12%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jorge Morel 40'
- Jorge Morel 53' (pen)
- Cristhian·Ocampos 59' (pen)
- Luis María Ayala Bentos 85'
We gave Cerro Porteno 68% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Blás Riveros 1750 −3 for Guillermo Benitez 1719 −528'
Cerro Porteno:Blás Riveros 1750 −3 for Guillermo Benitez 1719 −5 - Jorge Morel 1795 −17 assist Pablo Vegetti 1712 −1740'
Cerro Porteno:Jorge Morel 1795 −17 assist Pablo Vegetti 1712 −17 - 45'Fabián Franco 1471 +5 for Miguel Benitez 1354 0*
Sportivo Ameliano:Fabián Franco 1471 +5 for Miguel Benitez 1354 0* - 45+2'Jonathan Daniel Benítez Benítez 1321 +6*
Sportivo Ameliano:Jonathan Daniel Benítez Benítez 1321 +6* - 51'Raul Ignacio Cabral 1546 +6
Sportivo Ameliano:Raul Ignacio Cabral 1546 +6 - Jorge Morel 1795 −17 (pen.)53'
Cerro Porteno:Jorge Morel 1795 −17 (pen.) - 59'Cristhian·Ocampos 1528 +23 (pen.)
Sportivo Ameliano:Cristhian·Ocampos 1528 +23 (pen.) - Iván Ramírez 1598 −3 for Fabricio Domínguez 1828 −659'
Cerro Porteno:Iván Ramírez 1598 −3 for Fabricio Domínguez 1828 −6 - 65'Walter Rodriguez – for Jonathan Daniel Benítez Benítez 1321 +6*
Sportivo Ameliano:Walter Rodriguez – for Jonathan Daniel Benítez Benítez 1321 +6* - Ignacio Aliseda 1782 −1 for Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel 1651 −269'
Cerro Porteno:Ignacio Aliseda 1782 −1 for Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel 1651 −2 - Sergio Araujo 1724 −7 for Mateo Klimowicz 1765 −369'
Cerro Porteno:Sergio Araujo 1724 −7 for Mateo Klimowicz 1765 −3 - Pablo Gamarra 1688 0 for Carlos Rubén Chena Báez 1593 069'
Cerro Porteno:Pablo Gamarra 1688 0 for Carlos Rubén Chena Báez 1593 0 - 69'R. Torales – for Raul Ignacio Cabral 1546 +6
Sportivo Ameliano:R. Torales – for Raul Ignacio Cabral 1546 +6 - 69'Luis María Ayala Bentos 1396 +10 for Luis Ortiz 1324 +15
Sportivo Ameliano:Luis María Ayala Bentos 1396 +10 for Luis Ortiz 1324 +15 - Lucas Ariel Quintana 1731 −276'
Cerro Porteno:Lucas Ariel Quintana 1731 −2 - 81'Gabriel Marcelo Camargo 1242 +2 for Estivel Moreira 1414 +12
Sportivo Ameliano:Gabriel Marcelo Camargo 1242 +2 for Estivel Moreira 1414 +12 - 85'Luis María Ayala Bentos 1396 +10 assist Cristhian·Ocampos 1528 +23
Sportivo Ameliano:Luis María Ayala Bentos 1396 +10 assist Cristhian·Ocampos 1528 +23 - 90+5'Luca Andrea Falabella 1496 +22
Sportivo Ameliano:Luca Andrea Falabella 1496 +22
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 68% · 21% · 12%(Cerro Porteno · draw · Sportivo Ameliano)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 2–2 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Cerro Porteno €689K, Sportivo Ameliano €213K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Division Profesional - Clausura): Cerro Porteno ranked #2 of 12, Sportivo Ameliano #11.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cerro Porteno
7th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 20 pts from 14
- 10 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1684
- 5 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1727
- 26 SepLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 19 SepWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1738
- 12 SepDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1706
Sportivo Ameliano
8th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 18 pts from 14
- 12 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1472
- 6 OctLRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1453
- 25 SepDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1439
- 19 SepDLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1452
- 11 SepWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1434
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 20 /14 | 34.6 | 1% | 28% | 0% | 5th |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 18 /14 | 27.4 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Cerro Porteno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1733
Sportivo Ameliano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1474
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cerro Porteno: balanced profile (how Gustavo Adolfo Costas Makeira plays) · Sportivo Ameliano: direct (how Roberto Nanni plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.