Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 17
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno host Olimpia on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cerro Porteno 43%, draw 28%, Olimpia 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cerro Porteno €743K, Olimpia €555K.
- Home advantage makes Cerro Porteno the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Olimpia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cerro Porteno goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Cerro Porteno 1728 · Olimpia 1737
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cerro Porteno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1731
Olimpia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1835
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cerro Porteno
7th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 21 pts from 15
- 18 OctDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1699
- 10 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1684
- 5 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1727
- 26 SepLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 19 SepWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1738
Olimpia
1st in Division Profesional - Clausura · 30 pts from 15
- 17 OctW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1737
- 11 OctDRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 6 OctDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1724
- 28 SepWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1719
- 20 SepWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1719
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 21 /15 | 33.5 | 1% | 17% | 0% | 6th |
| Olimpia | 30 /15 | 43.0 | 59% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cerro Porteno: balanced profile (how G. Costas plays) · Olimpia: creative · shot-heavy (how P. Sánchez plays)