Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 21
Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno host Club Guarani on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cerro Porteno 56%, draw 25%, Club Guarani 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cerro Porteno €614K, Club Guarani €338K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Division Profesional - Clausura): Cerro Porteno rank #2 of 14, Club Guarani #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cerro Porteno goals first.
- 1–014%
- 1–112%
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–17%
- Other scores38%
Team Elo: Cerro Porteno 1714 · Club Guarani 1571
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cerro Porteno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Average) · Elo 1786
Club Guarani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1676
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cerro Porteno
7th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 28 pts from 19
- 8 NovDDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1703
- 4 NovWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1664
- 1 NovLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1716
- 25 OctWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1688
- 18 OctDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1691
Club Guarani
5th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 31 pts from 19
- 7 NovLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1575
- 4 NovWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1500
- 30 OctW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1551
- 23 OctWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1538
- 17 OctLNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1516
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 28 /19 | 33.2 | 0% | 15% | 0% | 7th |
| Club Guarani | 31 /19 | 35.0 | 0% | 28% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cerro Porteno: balanced profile (how G. Costas plays) · Club Guarani: balanced profile (how F. Arce plays)